|
(01 May 2012) It is labor day and the Paul
Krugman has done a lot of labor and has a new book out... Among
the spectrum of weird USA economists that have won a Nobel prize
in the science of economy, Paul has always been my favorite idiot.
Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Paul has a new
book out...
Item 1) Paul Krugman
watch: Paul has a new book out...
As you might know I am not the biggest fan of
economist Paul Krugman's insights when it comes to debt level
growth in economies.
Lately I estimated that in the next decade
the non-financial parts of the US economy need about 37 trillion
US$ in higher debt levels only to produce a moderate GDP growth of
at most 2% a year.
According to the last 30 years, that part of
the debt (non financial institutions) grew about 7% a year or a
doubling every decade. That simply means that the USA needs about
37 thousand billions higher debt levels for the next decade.
Paul talks only nonsense like 'Foreigners
are still willing to borrow us money'. But hey this is not
the first and likely not the last time I will tell you that Paul
is horribly bad at elementary math. My dear Paul, the debt grows
exponentially and time grows only linear. Debt will beat time my
dear Paul...
What kind of shithead is going to give 37
trillion to the USA and expecting to get it back?
Paul is also very good as a comedian: He
remarks that you 'need to stimulate the economy' so that 'people
can pay off their debt'.
Yeah yeah, as if the average USA citizen will
'pay off debt' at the moment they can...
Come on Paul, the average USA citizen has more important things to
do, like getting fatter & dumber year in year out.
Check Paul out at the Daily Ticker (the video
links don't have a very long lifespan, but anyway, have a good
laugh):
Krugman: How To Fix The Economy? Do The Exact Opposite Of What We’re Doing
Lovely to see such a video, please remark
Paul never says a number...
That's how he got it's Nobel prize in the
first place; only dumb logic that sounds good but has only limited
merit.
Till updates my dear reader.
(28 April 2012) Two items:
Item 1) In Dutch: Zelf selectie van idioten:
PVV, SP en PvdA.
Item 2) A tiny bit more 3D complex multiplication.
Item 1) In Dutch:
Zelf selectie van idioten: PVV, SP en PvdA.
Zo zeg, dat ging even snel van de week; in
maar een paar dagen een accoord op hoofdlijnen en gelukkig
eindelijk wat meer serieuze bezuinigingen.
Laten we eventjes de fundamentele losers
langslopen:
Loser 1) PVV / Geert Wilders.
Het uitgekotst stuk semi-kosher vlees genaamd
Geert Wilders had al enorm veel last van een veel te laag IQ.
Daarom is de PVV ook zo populair bij al degenen die moeite hebben
met het begrijpen van onze nogal ingewikkelde wereld: idioten
voelen zich thuis bij andere soortgelijke idioten.
Loser 2) SP / Emile Roemer.
In tegenstelling tot de PVV is de SP een
waardevol element van het politieke landschap, onder het
electoraat zijn nu eenmaal veel personen met een sterk en woest
doorleefd sociaal rechtvaardigheids gevoel terwijl die personen
niet zo erg goed zijn in rekenen.
Nou ja, die gaan dan SP stemmen. Moet kunnen...
Dat is het belang van de SP: het kanaliseren van woest doorleefde
rechtvaardigheids gevoelens...
Hij is een loser omdat hij niet echt zijn schaapjes beschermd op
de lange termijn, maar ja iedereen heeft wel een neef die niet kan
rekenen.
Loser 3) PvdA / Diederick Samsom.
De verse PvdA leider Diederick deed deze week
nog steeds enorm luchtig over zogenaamde 3% eisen, dus ik dacht
van die zal wel één of andere flut studie als Middeleeuwse
Scandinavische talen gedaan hebben. (Nou ja, ik wil dat soort
studies niet afkraken, het is leuk dat er dat soort spul en
specialisaties zijn.)
Maar nee, deze wiki zegt TU Delft kern fysica... Check it
out:
http://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diederik_Samsom
Dus waarom doet Diederick zo luchtig over die
3%?
Want het is niet 3% van alle belastingelden in een jaar terwijl we
ook nog eens 3% groeien met de hele economie... Nee het is 3% van
het bbp.
Dus ik denk van 'laten we de bewijslast maar
eens omdraaien' en Diederick kan ons haarfijn uitleggen dat idioot
hoge niveau's van extra schuld echt geen enkel probleem zijn...
Normaal gesproken geef ik nooit stemadviezen,
maar omdat het nu duidelijk is dat in de hoogste regionen van de
PvdA zware cognitive stoornissen welig tieren moet je echt twee of
drie keer nadenken voordat je op die mafketels gaat stemmen.
Maar, wie weet heeft Diederick nog een mooi
lapje wiskunde liggen dat zijn gelijk bewijst. Wie weet hoe een
koe een haas vangt...
__________
Over de bezuinigingen kan ik niet veel zeggen
maar ik was blij dat de politie weer een jaartje geen salaris
verhoging krijgt. Met een beetje geluk krijgen ze in totaal 9 jaar
geen salaris evbij, dat zou dan evenlang zijn als dat ze mij
hebben zitten stalken...
Weten ze dan ook eens hoe lang dat wel niet
is: negen jaar...
Is zoiets eigenlijk wel legaal? Geen flauw idee.
Item 2) A tiny bit
more 3D complex multiplication.
Ok, lets proceed where we left unfinished in
the previous math update.
Today the inverse of a point X = (x, y, z)
and the 3D analog of the complex conjugate come along. But before
that we look at the 'shape' our matrix representation has: with
'shape' I simply mean the position of the x, y and z and the + and
- sign.
1) M(X) once more, look at her shape.
2) The inverse of X via the inverse of M(X), look at her shape.
3) The 3D analog of the complex conjugate z = x - yi, again look
at her shape.
The stuff looks as follows:
So that was it for today, I hope you haven't
fallen asleep by now because math it is just so boring to most
people...
Just so boring...
Lets leave it with that for the time being,
see yah around my dear reader!
Till updates.
(23 April 2012) One item; I am leaving the
democratic system for the next years.
Item 1) No way I am going to vote in the next
Dutch elections...
Item 1) No way I am
going to vote in the next Dutch elections...
Just two days ago the Dutch government fell
over some hard needed austerity measures and when viewing the
political landscape today I decided not to vote in the coming
elections.
The main reason for me not voting is given by
the fact there are far to many debt huggers in the Dutch
parliament, if I would vote I would give more or less implicit
some signal of trust in the next Dutch government.
But I don't trust them any longer, it is not
only the imbecile named Geert Wilders. Basically along the entire
political spectrum they have learned zero point zero from the
financial crisis.
From the emotional point of view I don't want
have anything to do with the Dutch parliament, so I will not vote
for a few years.
One way or the other there will be debt
huggers in the next government, that simply has to run it's course
and that will take a few years...
Imbeciles, we are ruled by imbeciles.
Till updates my dear reader.
(12 April 2012, temporary update) Oh shit, 3
hours of work down the drain...
This is no fun: They started to look so
beautiful, those funny thingelings that also paint generalized
Cauchy Riemann equations but once more the computer breaks down...
Repairing the stuff will take too much time,
so I am sorry to give you this very handicapped & temporary
update.
Item 1) Correction & addendum to the 24
March update on fractals.
Oh oh, at the end of the previous update I
wrote that you could even take Cauchy integrals... I am sorry for
the eventual inconvenience but that was plain stupid
wrong.
To my excuse I can say that over two decades
I did not look at this old 3D complex multiplication math and as
far as I can see it was the only fault...
__________
So far for the correction, now what fresh
stuff to add?
(1) Lets look at our exercise: solve det(M(X))
= 0
(2) A few remarks on differentiation.
(3) Calculating the inverse of a point X = (x, y, z).
Yes well I totally flip but the above is all
that remains from 3 hours of work...
Bah!
(25 March 2012) It was a long wait but finally I
have decided that the Syrian prez Basher Assad not only has
written his own death certificate, but with this update I will
validate it:
My dear Assad, you are dead meat because you
perform poorly when it comes to stuff like the battlefield
discipline. May be as a dentist you can perform good, but as a
ruler of the Syrian army you perform very bad.
Therefore my dear Assad, with regret in my heart I have to inform
you that in the year 2012 you have to die, if you survive this calendar
year 2012 I might reconsider.
__________
Lets do a tiny bit of math in order to honor
those that get killed for nothing at all:
Item 1) More math: The Mandelbrot fractal in
3 dimensions.
Item 2) What if the Rick Santorum was a European?
Item 1) More math:
The Mandelbrot fractal in 3 dimensions.
To be honest I never wrote down the
programming code for this (because I am not very good at
programming) so there is no guarantee in the sense of an eye
witness or a few pictures of such a 3D Mandelbrot fractal.
Yet it would be weird if nothing
would pop up...
Lets start today's tiny bunch of math:
An important distinction with the complex
plane is given by the singular points. In the complex plane only
division by zero gives a simple singularity, with the above method
of multiplication an entire line is made of non-invertible
'numbers'.
(Exercise: Find all non-invertible points by
solving det(M(X)) = 0, why is it enough to find only one non-zero
(x, y, z) point?.)
Ok a lot more could be said on this small
detail of math, for example you can define the log and even look
at Cauchy integral like formulas...
Item 2) What if the Rick
Santorum was a European?
In the USA the Rick Santorum is still trying
to get God's help in becoming the new & fresh Republican
nominee for the presidential elections.
Lately the Rick Santorum drew the attention
of the Dutch because according to the Rick Santorum our elderly
wear bracelets in hospitals that say 'Please do not commit euthanasia
on me'.
With his remarks the Rick Santorum truly made
himself immortal in our Dutch landscape as the standard example of
USA retardism; most facts as delivered by the Rick Santorum were
wrong and if correct always completely misunderstood.
So I decided to write some stuff as was the
Rick Santorum a European commenting on the USA health care
system.
In this regard it might be of interest to
know that Rick had a dead born baby or a child that died young, I
don't know the particular details but USA tongues said he brought
the corpse home so the other children could play with it... (Yes I
am in a nasty mood.)
|
The European Rick
Santorum. |
| Interviewer: Good evening
Mr. The Rick Santorum, now you are running for European
president can you comment on the child mortality rates in
the USA?
TERS: In the USA every year about six
million babies and small children are euthanised in
private hospitals that always strive for maximum
profits.
In the USA desperate parents often
tie a small bracelet around the ankle of their child, and
the bracelet says: 'Please do not boil me alive'.
Because in the USA they embrace a
culture of death, very often USA doctors and nurses take
home babies and boil them alive so that when Halloween
comes they hang the skeletons in the garden.
But because so many children are
killed in private run institutions, sometimes the parents
are allowed to bring home their own dead kid so the other
children in the family can play with it.
Interviewer: That is shocking to
hear! But what about all those USA elderly buying medicine
from Canada?
TERS: The elderly are scared from USA
made medicine, they know they live inside a culture that
embraces and rejoices death. So they do not trust pills
that says it is 'Made in the USA' because one in every 100
pills is replaced by an euthanasia pill.
So the USA elderly buy Canadian
medicine because at least that is safe.
Interviewer: Ok Rick we must leave it
with that because we are now going to the commercials and
our next item is fashion tips from Rhianna.
TERS: Ok, thanks for having me on
your show. |
End of this update. Till updates.
(05 March 2012) Only one item, it is so boring
to read that you better get to more exiting activities right now.
So leave this website and never return!
Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Debt hugger
Paul explains why austerity is bad.
Item 1) Paul Krugman watch:
Debt hugger Paul explains why austerity is bad.
Lately we have done some calculations upon
fresh debt needed in the USA in order to let the US economy grow
modestly and as a point estimation we observed that for at most 2%
GDP growth a hefty 37 trillion US$ was needed for the next 10
years.
By all standards this is a truly astronomical
figure, but given USA debt growth over the last 30 years that is
what they need for just a modest GDP growth of at most 2%.
Consumer economy.
In the holy financial Media they always say
that the USA is a 'consumer economy' because about 70% of her
gross domestic products is done by consumers.
That is a highly interesting phenomenon: how
can you consume so much while producing so little?
Please remark that in Greece, after all,
obesity in the worker population was never as high as in the USA.
Greece folks were dumb, but they were not lazy...
__________
Let's go to the 'We Need Always More
Stimulus' guy Paul Krugman.
In my world Paul is a sizzie; if we need 37 trillion in fresh debt
for the next standard operating decade, a stimulus would be even
more.
It is not the first time I am saying this,
but Paul Krugman is very bad at math...
But he hides it very well, look for example
when Paul explains the evils of austerity:
A number of people have asked me for a quick, easy explanation of the difference between a government and a family — basically, what’s wrong with the argument that when times are tough the government should tighten its belt.
Until this far, Paul does not look like a
weirdo. More quotes:
That’s the key point, of course. When a family tightens its belt it doesn’t put itself out of a job. When a government tightens its belt in a depressed economy, it puts lots of people out of jobs; and
this is a negative even from the government’s own, narrowly fiscal point of view, since a shrinking economy means less revenue.
Comment: Paul is right when he remarks that
the USA economy is not a family, no normal family would need such
a huge yearly debt growth. But my dear Paul, suppose that the US
economy is not a family living in harmony, where do these fresh 37
trillions for the next decade come from?
Boring (extremely boring) source file:
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/12/losing-the-belt/
Losing the belt? Only obesity folks loose the
belt on a regular basis my dear Paul...
__________
End of this update so see you around.
Till updates.
(01 March 2012) Not much news from Syria in the
sense that the madness continues. Lets hope for the best but I
have to remark I only have little hope.
By the way, the evolution of suicide bombers in Syria suggests
strongly that my hypothesis around the twin car bombings in Syria
wins in strength: it gets more and more likely some Israeli
involvement was there, but for valuation of such an accusation we
need more proof...
So let time float by & lets wait and
see.
__________
Today's two items are about the gigantic
strength and resilience of the USA economy; anyway they reported a
3% GDP growth while just in my previous update I told you folks
that high growth is not expected for a long time.
The other item is in Dutch and we poke a bit
of fun at the Dutch government that has, miracle miracle, a budget
deficit of 4.5% as measured in local GDP numbers...
Item 1) Oh deflator on the wall, who grows
the fastest of them all?
Item 2) In Dutch: Au zeg! Wel 9 miljard bezuinigen?
Item 1) Oh deflator
on the wall, who grows the fastest of them all?
Last week I estimated for you that the USA
needs about 37 trillion US$ in fresh debt for the non-financial
parts of her economy. It is highly questionable that such an
amount of money is there to borrow it out or that borrowers want
to take on such high levels of debt.
Then the news came out the USA GDP grew a
hefty 3% year on year, but I neglected it because sometimes I am
so horribly bored with the USA financial/sector/press coverage/etc
etc.
Yet by coincidence I heard someone
complaining that the deflator was only 1% and I was thinking 'That
can't be true'. So I looked it up in the relevant files from the
US Bureau of Economical Analysis.
This link confirms the 3% growth:
Table 1.1.1. Percent Change From Preceding Period in Real Gross Domestic Product
And this one the ridiculous 1% for the
deflator (in case you don't know what a deflator is: it is the
price inflation for the entire economy, so it measures a little
bit more than price changes in for example grocery stuff):
Table 1.1.7. Percent Change From Preceding Period in Prices for Gross Domestic Product
Please remark I am not saying the USA BEA is
cheating or so, but I don't understand what is happening. After
all the USA population is still getting more obese, lazy &
dumb year in year out so what explains this huge reported USA GDP
number?
I don't know.
Screaming faggots...
Where are the usual USA screaming faggots
always so afraid for deflation?
After all according to USA based screaming faggots deflation could
lead to a deflationary trap bringing down the entire economy with
it...
As we see, the Durable goods prices are
completely smashed with 2.5%.
But the usual screaming faggots stay silent...
Item 2) In Dutch: Au zeg!
Wel 9 miljard bezuinigen?
An sich was het uitermate komisch om te zien:
steeds in het buitenland roepen dat 3% toch echt de limit is en
onder hun eigen kont en natuurlijk volslagen onverwacht zitten we
zelf ineens met een tekort van 4.5%.
Om het helemaal hilarisch te maken: vandaag
zeiden ze in het nieuws dat na de vorming van ons nieuwe kabinet
Rutte ze zelfs vergadering(en) hebben gehouden over 'wat te doen
met eventuele overschotten?'
En nu, min of meer plotseling, moet het geld
daar gehaald worden waar het is: woningmarkt en pensioen leeftijd...
Dus sowieso afbouwen van de hypotheekrente aftrek en een paar jaar
later de huurtoeslagen.
Het zou creatief zijn om gewoon de huren in
sociale woningbouw eens een jaar of 5 te bevriezen, of pak em
beet, hooguit 0,5% per jaar verhogen. Dat heeft een leuk drukkend
effect op de inflatie terwijl tegelijkertijd de woningbouw
corporaties als het ware uitgenodigd worden om terug te gaan naar
hun kerntaak:
Goedkope huurhuizen bouwen... En niet al dat bankje spelen, kijk
maar uit want het is statistisch bewezen dat bankje spelers meer
kans hebben op lawines dan anderen... ;)
__________
En je kunt bezuinigen ook heel leuk maken, zo
klaagt de politie over hun salarissen enzo. Nou dan laat je elke
diender gewoon een standaard IQ test maken, als bijv voor een
willekeurige diender daar een IQ van 65 uit komt rollen dan krijgt
ie voortaan nog maar 65% van zijn oude salaris.
Ja nu ik er zo over nadenk: met die standaard
IQ testjes kun je enorm veel bezuinigingen doorvoeren bij de
politie.
Oh oh, als ik eens een weekje minister Opstelten mocht vervangen,
wat zou dat toch mooi zijn...
Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(26 Feb 2012.) This is a short update on a
simple extrapolation of future USA total debt levels, the European
debt growth is neglected although I have to remark the second
round of a possible fresh half a trillion € joke from the
ECB does come a little bit swift if you would ask me ask
me.
Just a short time ago we had those 500
billion Howitzer for 3 year long bank loans, so I am scratching my
old bold head. For the time being I support the ECB policy but
this all should not get too crazy...
Item 1) Future USA debt growth; a fresh 37
trillion needed in 10 years of time...
Item 1) Future USA
debt growth; a fresh 37 trillion needed in 10 years of time...
Yes you read this correctly: if the present
ways of USA economical growth continue they need at least 37
trillion in fresh debt in the non-financial sectors of the USA
economy.
I don't have a clue about estimates of total
world yearly gross domestic product, but it might very well be
that in the next 10 years total debt levels in the USA in the
non-fin parts will exceed the economical output of the entire
planet.
Why do I look only at the non-financial
sector of the USA economy? That is because in the financial sector
they are deleveraging at the expense of expanding US Federal
Reserve so called 'balance sheets'. So in the long run over the
decades that is not relevant, the FED has become just like the
average USA citizen: dumb, lazy & obese.
__________
Enough of the rhetoric!
Please take a good long look at my easy to
understand source file from the US FED, here is the source
file:
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/current/accessible/d3.htm
In the very first column in the above link
you see stuff like 'Total nonfin debt' or so.
I picked the last data from 2011 the third quarter, 10 years ago
and 30 years ago.
The results upon yearly debt growth are not
very promising, since it is clearly a nail in the Pentagon death
coffin I was delighted to make a little graphic from the
data:
With a little bit of rudimentary math you see
yearly debt growth is always above 7% totally outstripping the
growth of economical output let alone the profits needed to pay
back this debt growth.
Ok ok very often debt growth also induces
inflation but in order to tame the 37.8 trillion debt beast you
need about 5% inflation a year for at least 10 more years...
So in a hand basket the next 10 years for the
USA from the macro viewpoint will be:
-- At most 2% economical growth when it comes
to reported real GDP.
-- Inflation will stay high in the USA for at least 10
years.
__________
Now crisis in crisis out the USA has arrived
at a 37.8 trillion in 30 years of time, that is over 7% of debt
growth a year. Given her military arsenal she will proceed with
that kind of debt growth, so what will happen?
Very simple: at least 7% a year simply means
that in 10 years of time we are looking at:
37844 * 1.07^10 = ha ha ha 74 trillion US
bucks...
End of this update.
(21 Feb 2012, temporary update.)
In the USA the presidential race is going on
and the Republicans offer a wide range of utterly strange people
that try to win the Republican nomination for being the Republican
candidate.
As such we have Rick Santorum, he is a true
Christian & he likes to show it. I kind of like this guy, he
is definitely not a Dubya clone but he has the same deeply rooted
fundamental smell of utter retardation.
Why in the USA there still are so many
retards doing their thing is unknown to me, may be in the USA the
50 cents of wisdom always fall 10 years too late.
Ok the other guys in the race like Newt G and
that rich stinker Romney are also highly interesting, but if you
want to enjoy the weird insights of Rick upon the killing of Dutch
elderly people in state run hospitals, you should definitely look
at the video as found in the next link:
Rick
Santorum on the monstrous ways the Dutch kill the elderly.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yn-eejMcmuA
You know Rick is just like Dubya a 'nice
fellow' but guys like that should not run 50% of the world defense
budget...
Till updates.
(15 Feb 2012, temporary update in
Dutch.)
Guttegut,
zitten we zomaar in een recessie...
Volgens het CBS is de economie in het vierde
kwartaal 0,7% gekrompen ten opzichte van één jaar eerder (dus
geen kwartaal op kwartaal gedoe met al die seizoens invloeden).
Hoewel verrassend qua omvang zie ik de krimp
als een uitermate positief gegeven, het is toch prima dat er
minder gas verkocht is? Elke kuub die we nu niet verkopen kan je
in de toekomst tegen veel hogere prijzen verkopen.
En dan dat gezeur over 'de consument' die 'de
hand op de knip' zal houden?
Ach ach, pure paniek natuurlijk... Kom nou,
het is toch een goed ding dat allerlei personen eindelijk eens wat
gaan aflossen op hun idioot hoge hypotheek?
Vergeet niet dat de Nederlandse huizenmarkt
er tot nu toe waanzinnig goed is afgekomen; vrijwel nul komma niks
aan 'USA housing collapse effect'. Die paar procentjes in
waardeverlies tot nu toe stelt niet veel voor, het had veel en
veel erger kunnen zijn.
Maar het is nooit in mijn belang geweest om
de lokale huizenmarkt een dreun te geven. In tegendeel, nu de
huiseigenaren om de één of andere reden graag wat meer willen
aflossen wil ik de banken vragen om dit geld te gebruiken voor het
verstrekken van nieuwe hypotheken...
__________
Grap van de dag:
Denk je nu echt dat de banken de extra
aflossingen op hypotheken gaan gebruiken voor verse hypotheken? In
dat geval ben je waarschijnlijk een huis bezitter die net een
extra betaling op de hypotheek gedaan heeft...
__________
CBS link:
CBS
link
Tot opdatums.
(08 Feb 2012) One short item:
Item 1) On the Syrian equation.
Item 1) On the Syrian
equation.
From the level of international diplomacy the
UN Security Council resolution was vetoed by Russia & China.
(I did not read the details of the resolution since it was clear
from the beginning stuff would not make it. And, by the way, where
has my UNSC vote on Palestine statehood gone? Have I missed
something?)
Ok, China is not important since it is hard
to phantom they could cough up some serious help. China is only
relevant since it has veto power...
I have more trust in the Russians since at
least they try something although I fear that the Russian efforts
are not enough given the present escalation problems. My dear
Russians, it is clear that the Syrian Assad is not a full blown
idiot. Likely Assad is doing his best.
But stuff like 'restoring dialogue' or
'transforming politics' has a high degree of failure my dear
Russians. So it is nice the Russians try to do something, but is
it enough? For example:
UN resolution would bring no peace to Syria – Medvedev
http://rt.com/politics/un-resolution-syria-medvedev-845/
In order to keep this update short:
The Russians are allowed to go on with their
efforts for lets say 7 days, so that would be until 08 Feb + 07
days= 15 Feb.
After that the Russians retreat and the
Turkish people are invited to take the lead...
Till updates my dear reader.
(04 Feb 2012) Only one item around math.
Item 1) Syria is boring, lets do some math
that calms the nerves even more.
Item 1) Syria is
boring, lets do some math that calms the nerves even more.
Ok ok the title of this item is a little bit
overdone, of course Syria is not boring but there is also that
vast ocean of that science known as math.
So instead of commenting on the Syrian
equation I would like to update with a little bit of elementary
math known as the Cauchy-Riemann equations that rule a lot of math
in the complex plane.
I sincerely hope understanding the next math
is good for your nerves, it is good stuff although it is only a
small detail.
Till updates.
(27 Jan 2012) One item:
Item 1) Leadership and the brain.
Item 1) Leadership
and the brain.
What is leadership? Because leadership in
humans is a very wide thing lets only look at, for example,
political leadership. What makes the populace follow leaders and
why do leaders 'lead' in the first place?
Stuff like that is embedded into our biology,
a well known Dutch biologist named Midas Dekker once explained
leadership among schools of fish that swim into the ocean:
Most fish that swim in schools just follow
their instinct and try to swim behind other fish in the school.
But weirdly enough there is at least one lonely fish swimming in
front the entire school. What does this fish set apart from the
other fish?
So they did catch a lot of those leading fish and put them under
the knife in order to study the brains of those leading fish.
It turned out all those leading fish had a
little bit of brain damage and as such were not capable of
following other fish...
__________
I had to laugh very hard when I understood
the implications of the contribution Midas Dekker made. Of course
our human brain is far bigger per kilo bodymass and as such our
brain operates a little bit more complicated, but I had to laugh
anyway.
It is a pity we cannot operate on the Dubya
brain in order to find that spot where it all has gone so horribly
wrong...
But serious: political leaders that create
the most lethal chaos are never of the conformist type, in that
sense they have indeed some brain damage.
__________
For myself speaking, when I employ projects
like bringing the DOW in half from 14 to 7 thousand, of course I
use my insights in leadership.
If I would not follow elementary insights,
the whole process might have stopped at, lets say, 9500 on the DOW
and those folks would party like a bunch of debt huggers inside a
Central Bank.
__________
Now why do some brain damaged people get so
many followers?
Why do political leaders get their followers?
I don't have a clue, may be my mind does not
want to go there...
Till updates.
(21 Jan 2012) Two items:
Item 1) On the Syrian equation.
Item 2) In Dutch: En ineens zomaar en volkomen is je dag verpest...
Item 1) On the Syrian
equation.
Ok, on 04 Jan I asked for withholding sniper
fire done by the Syrian army for at least 7 to 10 days ending on
the 14-th of Jan.
That was all I asked for and without posting
all kinds of links it more or less looks like that is what I got.
So that is a good thing although it has to be remarked that it was
only on a limited timescale on a limited detail of war (the
marksman or the sniper).
But hey my dear Syrians, where do we go from
here?
For myself speaking I would like it to write
a little bit about Syria every now and then, it is not for nothing
I am already writing 'Syrian equation' instead of simply
Syria.
__________
Just like the international community, I too
don't have a clue about Syria. A lot of forces are pulling at it;
most want stability and other forces like higher
instability.
__________
So lets wait and see how the Syrian equation
will evolve over time.
Item
2) In Dutch: En ineens zomaar en volkomen is je dag verpest...
Zit ik gewoon op de bank naar die saaie tv te
kijken en bah: de tv zegt dat Netanyahu op bezoek is in Nederland!
Ik dacht van die eikel heeft toch wel wat anders te doen nu zijn
hoom kountrie een fizit heeft van deze kwast:
US military chief holds talks in Israel on Iran
Maar nee, de Israelische Netanyahu zit gewoon
een kopje koffie te drinken met Mark Rutte en aanverwante
materie.
Nou man, mijn dag was gewoon verpest weet je.
Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(11 Jan 2012) One item:
Item 1) The Syrian equation versus my oath of
non-interference.
Item 1) The Syrian
equation versus my oath of non-interference.
Where is my oath of non interference gone?
You know, that old promise of me to keep my mouth shut when it
comes to uprisings in so called 'Arab nations'.
Ok ok, a bit of Libya came along, but for the
rest most of the time I kept my promise of a more or less rigid
non interference policy...
And now there is Syria, it is screaming for
attention because the levels of internal violence are relatively
high. Oath or not, rising levels of rough violence always arouse
my attention.
__________
My dear reader the Syrian equation is packed
with a gigantic load of dimensions, as such most people have
enough reasons to more-or-less explain the higher levels of
violence.
I will not loose myself in such generally
accepted nonsense, on the contrary: My compliments go to the
Israeli IDF for the help into the Syrian equation. It's so fucking
good my dear IDF; you can even look me in the eyes for a few
seconds, my compliments!
Religious dimensions.
A lot of people are blinded by religion when
it comes to Israel.
That is not forbidden of course, but is our beloved Israel truly
so perfect?
After all the IDF guy Gantz is telling us,
quote:
The chief of staff also explained that the current situation in Syria makes it difficult for Assad to attack Israel.
Comment: Only a fool needs more
comment!
Jerusalem Post source:
Gantz: Israel prepared to absorb Alawite refugees
http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=253033
__________
It is actually past midnight right now but I
forgot to comment on the content of the Syrian prez Assad speech
from yesterday. The line of reasoning is more or less that foreign
involvement causes the violence and the response will be with an
iron fist...
In this regard it is highly interesting why
exactly the Syrian security forces act so very violent... The most
logical answer is that indeed they had some rough attacks, and
they respond by killing back.
Suppose the line of reasoning from Assad is
correct and indeed foreign stuff is trying to trigger higher and
higher levels of violence inside Syria, why do you let your iron
fist hammer the own Syrian population?
That does not make sense because it is very
logical from the viewpoint of state survival that Israel dearly
wants and needs maximum amounts of violence in Syria. So that our
Israeli pals can say once more: We are a beacon of stability...
To put it more simply: If a burglar attacks
my house, why should I attack my own family members? Wouldn't it
be far more logical to find out what attacks you instead of doing
weird stuff without brains?
There is something strange with the Assad
regime although it is a far cry from that imbecile formerly known
as colonel Kadhaffi.
Till updates my dear reader.
(04 Jan 2012) A happy new year by the way...
I have decided to make the previous temporary
update a permanent one, so if I am wrong with my idea's that our
beloved Israel is indeed jacking violence a bit up inside Syria, I
would like to fall flat on my face.
Since the temporary status is now lifted we
can proceed to the items of this update:
Item 1) A simple marching order for the
Syrian army: no sniper fire for 7 days.
Item 2) Boring but funny links.
Item 1) A simple
marching order for the Syrian army: no sniper fire for 7
days.
Ok, lets try to see if it is possible to
control average violence levels in Syria...
That is all I would like to do my dear Syrian
army, don't worry it is not like the zero-one project from Iraq
that lasted over one hundred days. It's only a 7 to 10 day
timespan kind of thing.
I could write thousands of words and lay down
all kinds of nuances and hang out the diplomat. I am not going to
do that, no lets grab some small axe and simply tell the Syrian
army it is simply forbidden to use sniper fire for a period of
lets say 7 to 10 days.
__________
It goes in right now, so that implies that
from the 14-th January higher levels of sniper fire from all
parties inside the Syrian equation are allowed.
Lets leave it with that.
Item 2) Boring but funny
links.
Did you know the Palestinians are an
'invented people'? I never knew that, but USA prez hopeful Newt
Gingrich explains:
Gingrich Describes Palestinian People as 'Invented'
After so much sniper power every body needs a
good laugh, from the Fox business channel they are telling
us:
Why America's Financial Future is Far Better Than Europe's
After all that laughing it gets truly
hilarious when USA Nobel prize winner Paul Krugman complains:
Nobody
Understands Debt
Lets not try to explain to Paul Krugman when
debt levels grow too fast, let time do it's miracle thing.
__________
End of this update, the financial parts
follow their predictable path but how will the Syrian army react?
And what about the fucking Israelis?
Till updates.
(25 Dec 2011, temporary update) These Damascus
bombings look very strange, it has all the looks and feels of
another 'Hariri bombing'; therefore this temporary update on
the Syrian equation.
Item 1) Musings on weird & unexplained
bombings...
Item 1) Musings on
weird & unexplained bombings...
Weird & unexplained bombings and who to
blame for them?
For myself speaking the recent Damascus
bombs have all that gut & feel like the Lebanon Hariri pm
killing.
I know that inside Syria everybody is blaming
everybody & I am 100% sure that I will put all my credibility
on the line, but at the moment I am thinking the Damascus bombings
are some advanced Israeli joke.
After all, at the state level, the Israelis
are very much interested into hefty instability inside the
neighboring countries.
__________
But hey my dear reader, did I not put 100% of
my credibility up?
If you want to destroy my line of reasoning,
lets look at:
1) Lebanon Hariri still unexplained,
while
2) Damascus today.
__________
From the statistical point the future is very
easy to measure:
More bombings like these on a rather sparse
timescale...
__________
At last it is remarked that against Israeli
involvement the detail of suicide bombers was observed, hard to
say if Israel has such capabilities.
Till updates.
(21 Dec 2011) Two items, the last item is in
Dutch:
Item 1) The ECB bazooka.
Item 2) Van Dale woord van het jaar: Tuigdorp...
Item 1) The ECB bazooka.
Item 1) The ECB
bazooka.
Wow man, today the European Central Bank
borrowed out almost 500 billion in 3 year loans at 1% of yearly
interest...
That is indeed some bazooka... May be the name 'Howitzer' applies
a bit more.
I have to admit that I needed some time too
in order to swallow the possible implications and/or future
ramifications of such a big thing. After a few hours of thinking I
give it the green light: a priori there is no reason to expect
future inflation danger from this if this giant half a trillion
borrowing scheme is executed properly included the exit
path...
Furthermore I am not going to check all kinds
of details because for the time being I still trust the ECB more
than other Central Banks from not named nations.
Lets leave it with that.
Item 2) Van Dale woord van het jaar: Tuigdorp...
Item 1) Van Dale
woord van het jaar: Tuigdorp...
Tuigdorp?
Wat is dat nou weer? Één of ander mislukt
concentratiekamp zonder ovens?
Want zeg nu zelf: wat zou een tuigdorp zijn zonder ovens? Dat is
niet goed voor de doorstroming zou een naief persoon als mijzelf
opmerken.
Maar volgens een enquête van Van Dale is
tuigdorp het woord van het jaar geworden:
'Tuigdorp' Van Dale Woord van het Jaar 2011
http://www.nu.nl/boek/2697712/tuigdorp-van-dale-woord-van-jaar-2011.html
En, vreemd genoeg, schijnt dat woord uit de
koker van dhr Geert Wilders te komen; je weet wel, die mafketel
Geert van de PVV die min of meer een heel moderne versie van Boer
Koekoek is.
Vroeger, mijn lieve lezertjes, hadden we Boer
Koekoek in ons parlement. Als je eens een halve gare in actie
wilde zien dan kon je nog altijd naar Boer Koekoek kijken.
Tegenwoordig hebben we Geert Wilders...
Nou, Boer Koekoek kan er nog een puntje aan
zuigen maar Geert is tegenwoordig zelfs een beschermd handelsmerk!
Kijk maar:
Geert Wilders® is
(nu ook) een merk
http://nos.nl/op3/artikel/265105-.html
Nee dat tuigdorp gaat het echt niet worden en
of Geert succes zal hebben als Trade Mark is ook disputabel...
Laten we hat daarbij houden. Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(09 Dec 2011) Two items, no links.
Yesterday both the EBC and the EU political leaders had a meeting:
Item 1) Mario Braghi, the new ECB prez has
won the seal of approval.
Item 2) What will the EU politicians decide?
Item 1) Mario Braghi,
the new ECB prez has won the seal of approval.
Today the new European Central Bank had her
latest policy meeting and as such Mario was invited to the usual
press conference afterwards.
For myself speaking (don't forget Mario is
Italian...) I think we can trust Mario, so he gets my seal of
approval.
Ok ok me myself & I might differ on
details with the ECB central bankers; I don't see the inflation
going away in the food & energy parts of the real economy. So
I would have raised 25 points instead of lowering 25 basis points.
It has to be remarked however that I don't have any kind of data
to back up my EU inflation expectations for, lets say, the next
five years, so if indeed future inflation will sink below 2% again
it will be a clear case of: I was wrong...
Lets not loose ourselves in all kinds of
sideways concerning today's ECB policy decision, why does Mario
get my thumbs up?
Because he nicely pointed out that in the
European treaty it said that monetization of sovereign debt was
not allowed and as such a bypass via the IMF was completely out of
the question...
__________
Tip for the ECB folks upon monetization of
future sovereign debt:
Until now, as far as I understand reality,
for every € sovereign debt bought at some other point in our
beloved financial system one € is sucked out again...
I don't know if that is true, but at least
over there at the ECB at least they try to get the place nice and
tidy. And that cannot be said by the US Federal Reserve who, by
now, can only expand further their wonderful balance sheet.
So without much problems, in the future, for
every € of sovereign debt sucked up, you can also put a leverage
on it and drain above it: why not 2 or 3 in liquidity withdrawn
for every sovereign debt €?
Item 2) What will the EU politicians
decide?
No idea because we need 'balanced budgets' at
the nation state level and for some strange reason a lot of
European political leaders think that if your own economy expands
3% a year, you can also reap up 3% fresh debt in GDP every
year.
This is so breathtaking stupid, only
people with a background in law studies could believe such
a retarded thing.
__________
My dear European political leaders, if you
can only tax about 25% in money numbers as compared to your GDP and your economy expands
3% a year, your own government layouts can only grow 3% of GDP
too... (Anyway, that is the math stupidity in it.)
For example: If a government taxes away 25%
from her economy while that wonderful economy grows 3% a year, at
best the government outlays can grown is 0.25 times 3% = 0.75% of
the reported GDP.
Yeah yeah my dear European leaders, the war
against the debt huggers is far from won...
__________
But what will they decide now they have their
own meeting too?
Lets hope a more solid stability pact...
So good luck with it. Till updates.
(01 Dec 2011) I want Italy to sing the song of
debt for me and for that I need the help of the bond markets that
rule sovereign debt.
Item 1) Italy thou are so beautiful, please
sing the song of debt for me...
Item 1) Italy thou
are so beautiful, please sing the song of debt for me...
I can't say how much I enjoy the present
European so called credit crisis: Lovely to see all those weirdo's
that think the end of the earth is there because it is such a
giant mess in Europe...
All of that because the European political
leaders just cannot hammer out some progress and the European
Central Bank for some strange reason has weak knees when it comes
to sucking up trillions of € in sovereign debt for the next
years.
__________
Tourist stuff.
May be you have traveled a little around in
Europe and very very may be you have visited some famous tourist
attractions in Europe. While doing so you might have encountered
Italians; especially as a group they always stand out because they
talk so much.
Where normal people would only need about
five words to say something, the Italians easily need 25+ words
& a whole lot of gestures to say exactly the same
thing...
That's how they are on average; talk a lot
but not saying anything.
If you have observed a few of those groups of
Italians abroad you understand instantly that it would be very
hard to change the way they behave in public. The Italians are a
kind of their own: in Italy things go differently.
End of the tourist stuff.
__________
And if you have about 60 million of those
talkative debt huggers inside a nation called Italy, again
instantly you understand that warning against the dangers of debt
hugging will be met with a lot of words but zero
substance...
__________
Luckily there is also a guy named 'Mr.
Market', I have never met him and I have never seen any photo of
Mister Market but lately this guy wants 7% interest rates of
freshly issued Italian government debt.
I am shaking with laughter; that Mr. Market
person has far more muscle than I will ever have!
__________
But lets get serious: for the time being bond
markets should focus sharply on the 7% rates for fresh Italian
debt. Whatever the timespan of Italian fresh debt offered, let it
be 3 months or 3 years, 7% for fresh debt is always the answer of
the bond markets...
In case there are some weirdo's inside the
international bond markets that think they can skip my 7% advice
when it comes to Italy; you can give it a try but if you annoy me
or you irritate me you will find me on your path and rather likely
you will not enjoy that...
Lets leave it with that. Till updates.
(22 Nov 2011) One item:
Item 1) From the debt huggers to the toilet economy...
Item 1) From the debt huggers to the toilet economy...
Years and years ago I combined the words 'debt' and 'hugger' into debt huggers as some kind of funny antidote to tree huggers.
Today more and more people, even the smart asses inside the financial parts of our economies, are beginning to understand what debt huggers are: for every tiny problem they have, more debt is always the answer...
Most classical example: the USA, for some strange reason she needs more and more debt.
__________
Ok, that was all years ago and when I wrote down the two words 'debt hugger' for the very first time I knew it would take some years before we could observe the fun at the nation state level.
In these days we have indeed some fun at the level of state funding, a lot of weirdo's have complained for example that if for example Italy needs a bit of refi at for example 7%+ rates, the whole Euro system is crashing down like hell.
Ok, those weirdo's are always allowed to enjoy the fruits of their own brains.
For example the USA nuthead & Nobel economy prize winner Joseph Stiglitz says:
Joseph Stiglitz: Austerity not the way to go for Europe
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15110053
It is so breathtaking stupid, guys like Joseph wants Europe to go the debt hugging ways of the USA... Oh oh oh my dear and old Joseph, at what point in time does the concept of a 'toilet economy' set in?
And in case you don't understand it: a toilet economy can, by definition, only finance it selves via stuff like this:
Monetization of Federal debt is all the USA can do, just like your obesity rates why don't you just have fun with it my dear USA?
Till updates.
(18 Nov 2011) Two items:
Item 1) On the IAEA report on Iranian nuclear
activities.
Item 2) Boring links.
Item 1) On the IAEA report
on Iranian nuclear activities.
Ok, there is a steady drumbeat
over there in the media about the likelihood of Iran
trying to make a nuclear bomb. Since many years ago I arrived at
the conclusion that Iran did not try to make a nuclear bomb it
might be wise to check for myself if old old insights are still
valid today.
Without posting links, for me it
was very funny to observe that some US lawmakers think that Iran
tries to create a nuclear EMP blast against our beloved
USA...
I will not repeat my own old
arguments upon my old conclusion, I would only like to highlight
the extreme desire of some IAEA so called 'member states' to turn
attention away from the little Palestine problem they have towards
big evil like a nuclear armed Iran.
My dear reader, I have only read
a few parts of the IAEA recent report on Iran and I am sorry to
inform you that rather likely this report is just another bucket
of shit.
My dear reader, the IAEA report
is about 26 pages long, so it's a long read. But if you do not
have the time, save the file so you can later read it when you
have time enough... Link:
http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/IAEA_Iran_8Nov2011.pdf
__________
Chairman stuff.
Simply for myself speaking, from
the moment he was appointed I considered the new IAEA chairman a
so called 'weak person'. I never wrote about it, why not let time
do it's miracles?
In the report there is just too
much weird stuff coming from 'member states' so in mind comes
Israel & the USA. Sorry folks, the above report might be more
or less a little bit true, for the time being I simply operate
from the viewpoint that Iran is not actually making nuclear bombs.
In case you might be interested
about why I think the new IAEA chairman is a 'weak person'?
Try to read this:
Statement to World Association of Nuclear Operators Biennial General Meeting
http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/statements/2011/amsp2011n028.html
Item 2) Boring links.
I love it, all those doomsayers about the
€. It will break up, it will destroy us too, it will this and it
will that... In practice it is very very good we finally have some
action against the ridiculous debt super cycle where year in
year out debt growth always outstrips total profit growth.
So my dear doomsayers, will the € breakup truly get us into
WWIII? Have fun with:
The Rise of a Euro Doomsayer
(from the NYT)
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/rise-euro-doomsayer-155509377.html
__________
Rather often the USA folks complain about
China having an artificially cheap currency and as such generating
gigantic trade deficits with the poor poor USA folks. But, as
Stephen Roach points out, the USA runs more or less a trade
deficit against every nation it trades with...
America's Other 87 Deficits
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/roach10/English
__________
No time was found to check the factual
details on the official USA Federal Reserve website, but somewhere
it was claimed that the FED was now the largest holder of US
Treasuries thereby surpassing China.
So all goes down it's predictable path... What else can they do
beside monetising debt? After all the USA folks are the debt
huggers pur sang!
Fed Now Largest Owner of U.S. Gov’t Debt—Surpassing China
__________
Bloomberg is reporting that, sheer horror
& pure evil, that holy USA banks risk contagion from Euro
risks! Wow man, it is no longer Mortgage Backed Securities that
could be a trouble for USA banks, this time the poor poor USA
banks have to skip the 'mark to market' rule even for European
sovereign debt!
U.S. Banks Face Contagion Risk From Europe Debt
__________
The most boring links are the last two: they
are about using the axe properly.
I just love that kind of stuff although I haven't done much axing
lately.
For you it will be boring, but I like
Youtubbers like that:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueIB0h4SzHc
And a German version, also nice:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j506cXGvOPg
Till updates.
(09 Nov 2011) Two items:
Item 1) Will the Italian debt huggers run
into problems?
Item 2) Oh oh Israel; are thou a bunch of liars?
Item 1) Will the
Italian debt huggers run into problems?
In the previous update I neglected the side
show named Greece because all in all that takes away all attention
of much larger underlying issues. (May be that explains why the US
financial media pay so much attention at the European
problems...)
Anyway today Italy her ten year interest
rates on fresh debt rose above 7%.
Since Italy has about 1900 billion € in outstanding debt that
would amount to only 130 billion a year in interest payments.
Of course the 130 billion is some theoretical future ceiling and
you have to compare that to the average interest rate on already
outstanding debt. I don't have a clue about what the present
average interest rates are, suppose they are only 3.5%.
That means yearly interest payments would rise only 65 billion
€.
Italy has a population of about 60 million so
the extra interest payments would amount to about 1000 € a year
per capita citizen. Although that is a lot of money it rather
likely will not be the end of Italy.
__________
The problem for Italy is of course that they
can only pay old debt via refinance and so you have to trust them
you constantly hear because financial markets are build on trust.
Trust? Often financial markets are also based on irrationality;
any fool can see the US Federal bond markets only act as a 'safe
haven' because there is nothing else.
With only a small piece of paper and a pencil
you can calculate that this safe haven is not for real; what else
can the USA do in the long run than monetizing more and more
debt?
__________
Now for trust in Italy; do you trust
Italy?
For myself speaking I think it will be very
hard for Italy to change in a meaningful way, just look for
example at the garbage problems in Napels and so. For an amazingly
long time people have constantly trash and garbage on the streets.
So do you trust a nation that cannot even
clean up it's own citizens garbage?
Item 2) Oh oh Israel; are
thou a bunch of liars?
Yesterday it was very funny that emerged,
quote:
Microphones accidently left on after G20 meeting pick up private conversation between US, French presidents. Sarkozy admits he 'can't stand' Israeli premier. Obama: You're fed up with him? I have to deal with him every day!
Source (Ynet): Report: Sarkozy calls Netanyahu 'liar'
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4145266,00.html
Of course it is very funny that it is phrased
in words like 'liar' but lets put all fun aside and analyze
Israel's very weird words once more:
For months and years we are hearing from the
Israelis that the Palestinians need to come to the negotiating
table without pre-conditions (with that the fucking Israelis mean
the Palestinians must not complain about settlement expansions).
But for themselves they say (quoting Netanyahu in the Haaretz):
Netanyahu at UN: Palestinians can get state only after peace with Israel
Of course in the meantime Israel just cannot
give up her right to 'self defense' because they are surrounded by
evil terrorists & more of that bla bla bla.
__________
My dear reader, the creation of the state of
Israel was a massive blunder from our recent forefathers. It has
been a disaster from the very beginning and since Israel was
created by the international community, that very same community
should also end the existence of the state of Israel.
One way or the other: the creation of Israel
was one of the last big colonial decisions.
It was wrong from day one, we should end
Israel as soon as possible. As far as I am concerned; the state of
Israel has lost her right to exist somewhere in the last 60
years.
That's my view on the fucking liars from
Israel; they don't want peace, they only want settlement
expansions and go on with the military imbalance that prevents a
meaningful peace anyway.
Lets leave it with that, till updates.
(01 Nov 2011) Today we take a fine look at the
UNESCO vote for allowing Palestine to be a member while we neglect
a funny side show like the Greek debt hugging problems.
Item 1) It looks like the Israeli circus is
continuing: more landgrabs.
Item 1) It looks like
the Israeli circus is continuing: more landgrabs.
For some strange reason the USA has some law
that forbids all funding to UN agencies that would recognize some
kind of Palestine state.
One way or the other; this is a very strange
law. It looks like inside USA laws there are all kinds of things
that truly hinder the recognition of a Palestine state.
That is weird beyond belief, this law in particular even doesn't
allow for a presidential waiver...
So, by law, the USA stopped funding
UNESCO.
Who says the USA is not the perfect Israeli
poodle?
__________
My dear reader for years and years I have
argued that the present situation is more or less the perfect
situation for our beloved Israel: day in day out the slow landgrab
will go on one square meter of new ground at a time.
Therefore it was funny to observe a very
fresh reaction from the strong Israeli leader monseigneur
Netanyahu (Jerusalem Post):
PM calls for increased W. Bank settlement after UNESCO vote
http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=244014
As an example, quoting:
In a series of retaliatory moves against the Palestinian Authority, Israel on Tuesday night agreed to accelerate Jewish construction over the pre-1967 line and to temporarily suspend the transfer of tax funds to the PA.
Comment: No comment needed, a long long time
ago I understood the luxury position of Israel. Israel will always
do anything to prevent peace, therefore she shall be destroyed...
(Or will she only break a finger nail, who knows...)
__________
My dear reader, with sadness in my heart I
have to inform you that there is a new SecDef. You might think 'So
what'?
But for me those kind of details are very
important, the previous SecDef was Robert Gates and he was so
smart that his sheer presence kept me from activating sheer &
rough violence against the US army.
By now the US military has a new SecDef and
although I did not study the guy I simply smell a fresh Donald
Rumsfeld clone.
Don't forget my dear reader, guys wearing the
title of 'SecDef' usually run about 50% of global military
spending. It is only the 50% threshold that arouses my attention
of course...
And oh yeah, why me might look at another
Rumsfeld clone? The new guy on the block has stated a few weeks
ago that Israel and Palestine:
Both parties should go back
to the negotiating table because they have nothing to
loose.
Comment: No comment, if the SecDef wants to
believe such nonsense for himself just let it be.
__________
Till updates.
(25 Oct 2011) Ok ok, I am annoyed by all those
'human rights' weirdo's that want to investigate the Gadhaffi
killing as some kind of criminal war act...
My dear NY based human rights weirdo's: isn't it one 100% clear
that a military bullet was used? A clean entry wound and rather
likely a clean wound when the bullet exited the body.
My dear human right weirdo's; compare that to
the bullets used by the US Navy Seal team when they killed bin
Laden. After my humble opinion that was illegal ammo, of course
with stuff like that the human right weirdo's keep their mouth
shut.
__________
After having said that, let have fun with the
European debt crisis!
Item 1) Will the EU rescue fund work? Will it
'rescue'?
Item 1) Will the EU
rescue fund work? Will it 'rescue'?
The rescue fund is a very strange thing, in
many ways it resembles something of a flying elephant. There is no
real money in the 440 billion € rescue fund; it is borrowed
money that is AAA rated and the money could be borrowed because
the European countries guaranteed for the shortcomings of the
rescue fund...
In practice countries contribute with a
pledge of guarantee and this adds nothing to their running daily
deficits. So it's a huge bag of borrowed money, but until now not
much of this bag of borrowed money has been spend.
Since the rescue fund doesn't show up on the
deficits of the diverse EU countries we might wonder if this will
be a total disaster.
For the time being there is no reason for a total broad based
panic: It is not as horrible as the 4+ trillion US Federal Trust
Funds. Because in the US Trust Funds there is only sheer debt and
all contributions to the Trust Funds have been spend years and
years ago.
Will it work?
I don't know because I don't have any kind of
sharp insight into total debt level growth inside Europe. In the
previous update I calculated for you that in the USA debt levels
in the last 30 years in the real economy grew over 7% every year
thus outstripping all possible underlying profit growth.
By the way, in case you are interested about
exactly why the USA population got so horribly fat & obese
these last decades: look no further as their total debt growth...
So I know a lot of statistics and I have to
admit that have no insight in European total debt levels, the
rescue fund can work if and only if total EU debt growth is far
beyond the USA 7% problem.
Lets leave it with that, till updates.
(20 Oct 2011, temporary update)
Item 1) Wow man, what a day in Libya!
Item 1) Wow man, what
a day in Libya!
Of course in the first place I would like to
congratulate the Libyans too with the killing of our bucket of
shit named colonel Gadhafi; congratulations!
A few updates back I pondered the detail of a
killed Gadhafi buried under some square in Tripoli inside the
sewage system and build an urinoir above it...
Ok that was a bit rough, but I also mentioned that highly likely
Muslim religion will forbid such things, so as an idea it was nice
but it would be weird to actually do that.
To my surprise today it emerged in the end he
was hiding in some sewage pipes and I felt the need to make some
graphical art from it, but nowhere I could find some good footage;
if I find it may be I'll make some art from that in the
future.
__________
In the West a lot of observers are afraid for
civil war inside Libya because there are so many factions and the
place is awash with lots and lots of weapons...
Ok ok I admit things could run out of hand,
but for the time being I totally don't expect it. After 42 years
of the colonel most Libyans understand what it means to have some
fair share of freedom.
__________
Ha my dear Libyans, may be already 1% of your
total workload is done these last months. From the bottom of my
heart I wish you luck with the next 99%.
Make Libya a beautiful place to live!
Lets leave it with that, it was a good day
today.
Till updates.
Updated 21 Oct at 00.19 hours:
Luckily the Guardian had a photo, so after
about 10 minutes of work some graphic art could look like this
(it's only a sketch of course):
Ok, end of this temporary item, till updates
my dear reader.
(07 Oct 2011) One item:
Item 1) Musings on debt level growth; a
boring approach.
Item 1) Musings on
debt level growth; a boring approach.
Suppose you live in an economy where it is
more or less supposed that if you take on debt you will also repay
it, for example if you take a mortgage it is supposed by the bank
that you will actually pay your mortgage back in the long
run.
Lately the US FED issued a new so called Z1
release and one of my favorite short files is the next
link:
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/current/accessible/d3.htm
It is such a cute short file that gives so
much insight on the larger scale of things, for example all the
stuff of 2008 and so could be easily foreseen if you knew where to
look... It was so fucking simple to foresee the collapse of the
financial system.
Today I only want to look at the total debt
levels in the USA as found in the first column of the file above:
that contains all USA debt without the financial sector
debt.
Of course now the last few years there is all
that talk of so called 'tax money' needed to transfer it to the so
called 'financial sector' it might be interesting to observe how
fast private and government debt as a total grows. (Or
shrinks...)
So for example; how fast did this total of
private and government debt grow over the last five years in the
USA? On inspection you see:
2011 Q2 = 36516.8 and
2006 Q2 = 28089.0
The growth factor over a five year timespan
is 36516.8 / 28089.0 = 1.30 so the yearly factor would be 1.30^0.2
= 1.0539
That means 5.39% of total debt growth a year.
Is that high given the 36 trillion we are
talking about? Are the years 2006 through 2011 some kind of anomaly?
Lets look at the last 30 years in order to
see if the last five years might be some strange anomaly: in the
year 1981 total debt was:
1981 Q4 = 4361.7 while we still
have
2011 Q2 = 36516.8 of 'total debt'
That gives a 30 year growth factor of 36516.8
/ 4361.7 = 8.37
So the yearly growth factor would be
8.37^(1/30) = 1.073 or a totally staggering 7.3% on an annualized
basis.
May be now you understand why the US FED is
so afraid of deflation; the US economy is finetuned to be afraid
for stuff like the real economy ruling the waves. All we have is ridiculous
debt growth but little real performance...
In order to make this update as boring as
possible, a bit of graphics:
And:
Ok, it's time to hit the 'publish website'.
See ya around my dear reader.
Till updates.
(22 Sept 2011, temporary update. Updated in
Dutch on 30 Sept.)
Item 1) The Israeli circus will continue, or
not?
Item 1) The Israeli
circus will continue, or not?
Numerous times I told you that the Israelis
are basically only interested in ongoing slow expansions, they do
it slowly and it goes on by the square meter and day by day year
in year out.
That is the only thing that counts in the
long run for Israel, the rest is only a circus and when the
Israelis feel the need to play the violin they play the violin.
The only difference is that this time it is the Israeli finger
behind the (military) trigger so you observe a very different kind of
violin music.
This week it emerged that the Palestinians
want a reasonable response from the United Nations in general
& the upper echelons of the UN in particular. The request is simple to
understand: Give us some kind of state so we can live.
__________
For myself speaking I would like to see the
application of the USA veto in the UN Security Council so that we
will have clearity on that detail. Please no weasel stuff from the
other UN folks please...
Lets leave this temporary update with that,
as mostly when I am seething with anger better I keep updates as
short as possible.
So see you on some lost Friday afternoon.
Till updates.
==========
Update (in Dutch from Friday 30 Sept 2011):
Zo zeg eigenlijk wilde ik vorige week op
vrijdag de 23-ste wat updaten maar ik was een beetje moe of had
geen zin of weet ik veel wat.
Gelukkig was er in Zeeland een interessante
giga grote knal; een compleet caisson totaal aan gruzelementen! En
weet je, ik krabe mij een beetje over mijn oude kale kop en dacht
van dat soort dingen als 'Wow man, zouden de lui die dit explosief
gemaakt en geplaatst hebben soms ook af en toe deze website lezen?'
Geen idee of zij ook kinkytshirts punt nl
lezen, maar er waren wel een aantal gave details gevonden:
1) Giga grote knal te horen over grote delen
van Zeeland, geen doden of gewonden.
2) Onderzoek door politie en EOD kan alleen gedurende laag water.
3) Geen enkele verantwoording is opgëeist.
4) Politie heeft, zoals gebruikelijk, geen flauw idee.
5) Etc etc, al met al was het erg komisch maar bovenal uitstekend
uitgevoerd!
Voor als je het nieuws gemist had, bijv op nu
punt nl:
http://www.nu.nl/binnenland/2624786/caisson-gesprongen-zwaar-explosief.html
Nou ja de Zeeland knal was het positieve
nieuws van de week maar het negatieve nieuws was toch wel de
Jodenstreek die onze minister van buitenlandse zaken Uri Rosental
ons brave belastingbetalers flikte.
Ik had eerst zoiets van ik scheld Uri gewoon
uit voor Blöde Scheiss Jude maar later dacht ik van dat dat
misschien toch iets te ver gaat...
Wat is het geval? Uri blokkeerde eigenhandig
een Europese resolutie omdat die 'te negatief' voor Israel zou
zijn. Ik moet zeggen dat ik de oorspronkelijke tekst van die
resolutie niet gelezen heb, maar voor zover ik weet is dhr Uri
Rosental een lid van de Nederlandse regering en niet in dienst van
Israel.
Kijk wat mij betreft mogen Joden gewoon
Nederlanders zijn en ook alle gangbare maatschappelijke functies
vervullen, maar een minister van buitenlandse zaken die zo
éénzijdig pro Israel is dat kan natuurlijk niet.
Dus ik adviseer geen sniper schot tegen Uri (zoals
ik lang geleden wel eens adviseerde in het gevalletje Maxime
Verhagen) maar ik zie liever een minister van buitenlandse zaken
die de Nederlandse belangen behartigd en niet die van
Israel.
In de praktijk zou dat betekenen dat we deze minister snel moeten
afvoeren op de één of andere manier...
NRC bericht bijv:
D66 en PvdA eisen uitleg over Nederlandse blokkade EU-standpunt Israël
En dan bijv dat weekbald Elsevier, eigenlijk
is Elsevier altijd een pro Israel club geweest:
Rosenthal: EU-tekst over Israël was niet evenwichtig
Dus mijn geachte Rosental: wil je een
evenwichtig sniper schot ja of nee?
Einde van deze update.
==========
Update van 09 Nov 2011 (in Dutch):
Er blijft geen enkel nieuw nieuws komen in de
arrestatie van die 20 jarige jonge man die deze caisson explosie
op zijn geweten zou hebben.
Zijn ouders waren ook gearresteerd maar die
zijn al weer vrij en zijn voorarrest was verlengd met een dag of
30...
Ik moet opmerken dat de kans dat een 20
jarige zoiets kan doen als een heel caisson opblazen toch wel
uitermate klein is, het kan wel maar dan moet je toch als klein
kind af aan al veel met explosieven te maken hebben.
Zelf had ik een soort van dader profiel als
iemand, waarschijnlijk mannelijk, van 28 tot zo'n 35 jaar. Nou ja,
ouder dan 35 jaar zou natuurlijk best kunnen, in dat geval en als
ie nog op vrije voeten is zullen toekomstige bommen spaarzaam zijn.
Maar bij activatie wel spectaculair... (Tenminste dat is mijn
inschatting tot nu toe.)
Verder is er natuurlijk gerede kans dat de
Zeeuwse politie in dezelfde IQ equivalentie klasse zitten als de
lokale politie hier te Groningen en tja laat mij diplomatiek
blijven en deze IQ klasse maar niet omschrijven...
Ik blijf (als een soort van strontvlieg) deze
interessante caisson zaak natuurlijk volgen... Tot kijks.
Till updates.
(09 Sept 2011) Sorry for not updating for
so long but I was doing other stuff. Other stuff like loosing
weight (15 kilogram until now so only 5000 gram to go), loosing
weight is actually very simple. Eat less, exercise a bit more and,
in my individual case, drink green tea...
Basically it is so simple that I don't understand why there are so
many commercial shitty diet programs around, the losers that buy
those shitty products can only be classified as lazy folks;
loosing weight is not something you can buy but is mostly a state
of mind.
Hey, I crafted two very boring items, here
they are:
Item 1) Boring links.
Item 2) On the nonsense of Euro bonds.
Item 1) Boring
links.
Somewhere it was claimed some monkeys made
photo's of themselves with a camera that was left behind... Don't
know if it's true but the photo's don't seem to be some
trick.
Source (from techdirt): Monkey Business: Can A Monkey License Its Copyrights To A News Agency?
A six page read about the emerge of the US
dollar, very interesting:
When money brought us together
From just before the recent market turmoil,
from the Black Swan:
S&P 500 Priced in Gold---The Economic Recovery Illusion
A movie festival with 911 conspiracy theory
movies? Those folks are very persistent, I have given up
highlighting my version of events because of the sheer lack of
interest... (Although even today after so many years it is still
funny to be able to say: They had to die so I could
live...;)
Bay Area to Host 9/11 Conspiracy Movie Festival
For the fine-tasters, in Europe money
measurement M3 grew 2% in July (annualized 2% of course):
MONETARY
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE EURO AREA:
JULY 2011
http://www.ecb.int/press/pdf/md/md1107.pdf
In the
next video a guy named Chris Whalen is talking reasonable stuff
about farces like Federal US Trust Funds...
He even
mentions stuff like the
Federal Uniform Core Kernel Inflation Neglecter Gauge:
Is Social Security a ‘Ponzi Scheme’? Chris Whalen “Salutes Perry for Raising the Issue”
Item 2) On the nonsense of
Euro bonds.
In Europe the situation is very simple: Debt
Hugging nations think it is a good idea to issue Euro bonds
because that will shrink their interest rates on freshly issued
debt while normal countries don't think it is a good idea.
In this country we, the Dutch, pay very low
interest rates on more or less modest amounts of debt. But it
is not as a simple one dimensional mindset I am very much against
the idea of Euro bonds.
Let me name just a few counter arguments:
1) One thing we have learned from the
financial crisis is that it would be better to have risk locally
contained. If local risk can swarm too easy around you run the
risk of blowing the whole place up.
2) Too low rates were very much the beginning
of the problems for debt hugger nations, going on with that is of
course the best way to blow up the value of the €.
3) There will always be nations confronted
with huge internal problems that will over borrow if rates are too
low. Look for example at Spain; they are not rigid debt huggers
but their unemployment levels are just so high that they might be
tempted to do weird things.
4) Euro bonds will hollow out the national
parliaments, it is simply better to let the locals collect taxes
and issue debt and avoid too much centralization.
Remember Greenspan: Too much centralization can kill you.
5) And so on, and so on.
No I cannot think of only one tiny long term
benefit, the European countries are far to diverse that a uniform
tax code and Euro bonds will always be a negative in the long run.
While the € has only brought positives for
the real economy, every day from every year we have large cost
cutters at work: Try to imagine how 17 different currencies would
work...
__________
My dear reader, it is time to hit the button
known as 'publish website'.
So till updates & have a happy 911 anniversary.
(12 Aug 2011) One item:
Item 1) Ratio between US Federal debt growth
& GDP growth.
Item 1) Ratio between
US Federal debt growth & GDP growth.
Going further from yesterdays update where we
observed the annualized USA GDP grew about 50 billion from the
first to the second quarter of 2011, we observed also that this
means that the GDP grew only 12.5 billion on a quarterly basis.
Lets further assume the USA Federal deficit
is about 1.5 trillion a year, so on average per 3 months, that is
about 375 billion.
That gives a ratio between GDP and debt
growth of 375 / 12.5 = 30.
So one extra GDP dollar costs at this moment
30 more dollars in borrowing...
__________
The reason for this update is that I am a
little bit worried upon the reaction of the Standard & Poors
downgrade of the USA Federal debt from AAA to AA+.
My worries are that until the present day
there still are a lot of pension funds worldwide that still have
US treasuries in their holdings, that is horribly stupid because
it is utterly clear how the USA story will end.
I know that I am a little bit better at math
than the average person, but is the above ratio so difficult to
understand? And why have a lot of pension funds no employees that
craft such easy ratio's themselves and rely hefty on commercial
rating companies like S&P?
__________
Lets leave it with that, till updates &
for the pension funds: use your fucking brain!
(11 Aug 2011) Only one boring item, lets hope it
is boring enough...
Item 1) Is the USA economy already
contracting for some time?
Item 1) Is the USA
economy already contracting for some time?
Lets not do difficult, according to the next
link the US economy might be shrinking already when it comes to
GDP numbers chained to 2005 US$ values.
Here is the link, in the upper row you see
the USA economy shrinking although as usual the USA financial
press has other 'more important' things to do... You know, all
those things that people 'can understand' or 'lets not get too
technical' kind of stuff.
Table 1.1.6. Real Gross Domestic Product, Chained Dollars
If the link does not work, try table 1.1.6
from the next collection of tables:
http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/SelectTable.asp?Selected=N
So all in all life looks ok; the USA economy
is shrinking right in the face of so much stimulus...
The USA Bureau of Economical Analysis says
so... If you need so much more Federal debt and on an
annualized basis the GDP only grows 50 billion (or only 12.5
billion going from Q1 to Q2) you can also argue that in fact the
economy is shrinking.
Poor poor equity markets around the world:
the USA cannot suck up more debt propping up her wonderful GDP
even further.
Lets leave it with that, till updates.
(06 Aug 2011) What a lovely weekend; I am almost
half a century old now and for years I have waited for the very
first downgrade of US Federal debt.
Therefore only two items both about the S&P USA Federal debt
downgrade:
Item 1) Two dumb reactions on the US Federal
debt downgrade.
Item 2) Possible stuff that could happen because of the US debt
downgrade.
Item 1) Two dumb
reactions on the US Federal debt downgrade.
Albeit at least one full year late, because
you can do all calculations on the backside of a cigar box, the
first commercial rating company has downgraded the US Federal debt
by only one notch to AA+.
The fiscal details are easy to understand,
only when you have a severe mental handicap you cannot understand
what will happen in the future when in the present you have:
(Sorry if I am a rough 100 billion wrong here
and there, 100 billion more or less is utterly irrelevant
now.)
---Federal outlays about 3.7 trillion US$ this fiscal year.
---Deficit is about 1.5 trillion US$ this fiscal year.
---No possibility to raise any kind of taxes.
__________
Any fool can understand that, you really do
not need a commercial debt ratings company for that.
The Australian prime minister is nothing but
a cheap chick when she remarks; quote, source:
"At the same time, the other two major ratings agencies, Moody's and Fitch, continue to have the American economy rated at AAA. So I think people just need to look at all of the facts."
Comment: Yes stupid chick, people should look
at the facts, you can find these facts above. I am glad this dumb
chick is the Australian pm and not one from Europe...
Paul Krugman.
It is well known Paul Krugman is a
fundamentalist when it comes to debt hugging, every time Paul
finds a teenager that is without a job for over two weeks, in
utter agony Paul screams for more and more stimulus.
Why Paul ever got that Nobel prize in
economics will forever be one of the mysteries of the Nobel prize committees
that select the candidates...
Ha, years back when the dumb dumb policies of
the former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan came falling
apart, I very much pondered the question if Paul Krugman would
follow the same way.
Paul is a one dimensional debt hugger without an eye for the value
of savings in your economical system, beside that he is very lousy
in math.
So how did our Nobel prize winner react on
the US debt downgrade?
Only a bit of dumb emotion, see
this:
The Best Summary of the S&P Downgrade
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/06/the-best-summary-of-the-sp-downgrade/
Paul and his followers seem to think that
given the wrongdoings of Standard & Poors in the past,
suddenly 1 + 1 doesn't equal 2 any longer in the present because
S&P says that one and one is two.
Come on Paul & Australian pm chick: it is
only one notch down while in practice
everybody can do the math... (Unless you are utterly stupid of
course.)
Item 2) Possible stuff that
could happen because of the US debt downgrade.
Ha, this is tricky stuff because to be honest
I don't have much sharp clue either. That is because the downgrade
is only one notch.
But it will have it's stuff on the Federal
bond markets, that is clear. But in the USA there are also piles
of borrowed money every now and than fleeing 'into safety'.
All that cash, be it real money or leveraged
up borrowed money in the US financial system still needs it safe
haven. Look for example at the behavior of the bond markets last
week: Spain & Italy got a nice beating around the ears while
USA stuff dropped...
Therefore elementary logic says that the US$
will weaken further, so that bond markets will have less
volatility and or panic.
That's in a nutshell as I look at it now: the
bond markets don't want all kinds of shit, an orderly rewind will
go via currency depreciation.
(Of course there still is that strange correlation between stock
market values and the US$ value; if stocks fall the dollar gets
stronger and vice versa, that blurs the picture of course but all
in all I expect the dollar to weaken further.)
Lets leave it with that, see ya around!
Till updates.
(03 Aug 2011) Two items:
Item 1) UK phone hacking fun continues.
Item 2) USA obesity rates keep on rising and rising.
Item 1) UK phone
hacking fun continues.
Just as you thought it could not go any lower
than this, now it is rumored that the News of the World editor
gave a mother an already hacked phone while her eight year old
daughter was kidnapped & killed...
In that case the phone could have software
like this on it:
http://www.spymobile.biz/
Some of the tasty details:
Did Rebekah Brooks Hack It?
http://powerwall.msnbc.msn.com/business/did-rebekah-brooks-hack-it-1696665.story
Just so disgusting I won't comment on it, as
an antidote an old anecdote from my own experience with hacked
phones:
This dates back to the end of 2001, I don't
recall the exact month but lets say it would be in the Oct-Nov
2001 range of dates.
On this website I published a short story or
some update that clearly had attached a number to it. I don't
recall the exact number so lets say the number was 12344321.
To my amazement a few days later a good
friend of mine with who I had often some short telephone talks a
day came up with a new telephone number: 06 12344321.
You understand I was totally surprised but I
decided to keep my mouth shut.
Even my pal did not know that he had a very weird telephone
number.
So I few months later, on this very website
again, I mentioned the strange telephone number I received. That
same evening the phone of my pal stopped working...
A few days later after the phone stopped
working I explained the thing to my pal and I asked him how he got
that phone. He said he got it very cheap from a very 'vague
person' in some café after his previous phone was lost or
stolen.
(End of the anecdote.)
That's one of the reasons I still don't like
mobile phones today, they might be handy but for myself speaking I
don't like them.
Item 2) USA obesity rates
keep on rising and rising.
One of the miracle things of the USA is they
keep on getting fatter and fatter in an amazing high rate. Ok ok
also over there a lot of new pensioners are in the making given
the old baby boom from after World War II and the older you get on
average the heavier you get, but the USA obesity madness goes far
beyond that.
Why, as a nation, do they keep on
deteriorating like this?
It is the speed that amazes me so much: how
fucking lazy as a nation you must be to arrive at body fat growth
like this?
Is the USA really the nation of retards as I
portray them them for years?
Please make up you own mind, that's all I ask.
Boring links:
From Boston dot com:
Obesity rates rise at least 90% in 17 states since ’95, study says
A funny graphic can be found at:
U.S. Obesity Trends
http://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/trends.html
Lets leave it with that, till updates.
(18 July 2011) Only one update:
Item 1) The UK phone hacking scandal gets
better and better.
Item 1) The UK phone
hacking scandal gets better and better.
It all started with a bit of emotion: the
mobile phone of a kidnapped and killed UK teenager was hacked
while months later her inbox was changed giving her parents and
'the police' false hope on her survival...
Now a bit of dust is beginning to settle it
becomes more and more obvious that the UK newspapers are using
police software in order to track and get access to mobile
phones.
It was obvious the police would be involved
since the hacking goes over many years over all telecom operators
and for many years no UK based telecom operator is advertising
with stuff like: You cannot hack our phones
because we love the privacy of our customers.
Of course the UK tabloids have some money to
invest and very likely they have better hacking software today
compared to the London police...
Lets not do difficult, it looks like the
London police is at least as corrupted as the local police here in
Groningen and it is a pity I cannot use a mobile phone myself for
over five years now...
That is very shit because I simply cannot use
a reliable phone that will keep away the local police, I want a
phone that only traces me when I need to make a call...
Lets leave it with that.
Till updates.
(16 July 2011) Sorry for not updating so long
but it's Summertime so why spend too much time behind your fucking
computer?
That does not mean I don't have nothing to
write about, for example (without placing links) it is rumored
that in the bin Laden so called treasure trove there was some
prior knowledge to the 7/7/05 London bombings.
If they have stuff like that, may be (but far
from sure) the bin Laden treasure trove also has some info on my
individual insights on the success of the original 9/11/01 attacks
in New York...
But hey, the 'treasure trove' is in the hands
of the Americans so by all standards it will be highly unlikely I
will get the stuff that I need...
So I skip all kinds of stuff like that &
there will be only one update in the Dutch language:
Item 1) Smilde en Lopik zendtorens branden op
dezelfde dag...
Item 1) Smilde en
Lopik zendtorens branden op dezelfde dag...
Als statisticus is het voor mij heel leuk om
te zien hoe jullie reageren op twee branden waarvan één onder
controle en de ander aanleiding gaf tot een leuke instorting.
Laten we het simpel houden:
Stel dat er eens in de 10 jaar een serieuze
brand is in een zendtoren vergelijkbaar met Smilde of Lopik. Laten
we gewoon eens zeggen dat de kans op brand per dag 1 op de 3000
is.
Nou, als de kansen op brand in zendtorens
ongeveer één op de drieduizend is, dan is de kans op twee
branden op dezelfde dag ongeveer één op de negen miljoen!
(Ok ok, mijn collega statistici en
kansrekenaars weten dat je ook de zendmasten die niet in de brand
zijn gegaan erin moet betrekken, en je moet ook niet alleen kijken
naar de kans van precies twee zendtorens in de fik maar naar de
kans op twee of meer op dezelfde dag...)
Volgens mijn bescheiden mening, als het waar
is dat de Lopik brand ontstaan is door een overbelaste
electriciteits toevoer kabel, is er in Smilde precies hetzelfde
gebeurt.
Hier is een youtubber met het Smilde
gevalletje:
Val
radio- tv-toren smilde
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IxLvEoP_jLM
Laten we het daarbij houden, tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(30 June 2011) Five items:
Item 1) USA zombie spending at 3.5 trillion
$???
Item 2) The staggering price of abortions; 163 million girls
gone...
Item 3) A short one on Libya.
Item 4) In Dutch: Een tweeter die gevangenisstraf krijgt.
Item 5) The empty item.
Item 1) USA zombie
spending at 3.5 trillion $???
The Christian Science Monitor had a nice
article lately stating that about 3.5 trillion is paid in interest
only every year in the USA.
Source: Zombie spending and US debt
Quote:
How about this? Porter Stansberry told us that together, public and private sectors in the US now spend $3.5 trillion just on interest. Since almost all the borrowed money was spent on consumption rather than capital investment, this expense is just one big drag on the economy. It produces no growth, no real jobs, and no real wealth.
And here’s another big drag: taxes. Porter says the total tax take is about $2.5 trillion. Again, this is money almost 100% consumed…eaten up…used up, with nothing to show for it but people eager to consume even more next year.
Comment: The 3.5 trillion looks a bit over
the top, suppose the average interest rate is 5%, in that case you
would need 70 trillion in outstanding debt in order to get 3.5
trillion of paid interest a year...
For myself speaking I often use something like 50 trillion in
total USA debt but that is not included all the trillions in the
USA Federal Trust Funds.
Item 2) The staggering
price of abortions; 163 million girls gone...
A female named Mara Hvistendahl gets a big
compliment because she has done what I wanted to calculate for
years but since it is hard to get the statistics right I never
have done it.
Mara calculates back from the male to female
ratio in a given population like China and India and as such
calculates how much girls extra have been aborted.
In normal societies the male to female ratio is 105 boys for every
100 girls, in for example China this is 121 boys for every 100
girls.
Mara comes with a staggering number, but her
methods look solid so this could very well be true, quote:
Yet today in India there are 112 boys born for every 100 girls. In China, the number is 121—though plenty of Chinese towns are over the 150 mark. China's and India's populations are mammoth enough that their outlying sex ratios have skewed the global average to a biologically impossible 107. But the imbalance is not only in Asia. Azerbaijan stands at 115, Georgia at 118 and Armenia at 120.
Comment: These are truly staggering numbers.
This is sad stuff, sad statistics...
Item 3) A short one on
Libya.
It is a pity that Gadhaffi is still alive, a
few weeks back I pondered the question if there might be more to
this guy because he still has some followers but a few days later
it was clear again Gadhaffi is just a bucket of shit and it would
be better for Libya to get rid of that inverted asshole.
Lately some generals swapped wiser sides and
to my fun we also had some soccer players doing the same. In order
to understand why Gadhaffi is very much some inverted asshole
(beside his weird uniforms, dresses and his disgusting ugly face)
lets enjoy a quote from the soccer team guys:
“I am telling Colonel Gaddafi to leave us alone and allow us to create a free Libya,” said Juma Gtat, 33, who has played as goalkeeper in the national team. “In fact I wish he would leave this life altogether.”
And:
Gaddafi had “done nothing for Libya since he took over; there’s no proper infrastructure, no good education, no health care,” he told the BBC.
“The young people are not well educated. This is because of the last 42 years.”
Comment: The dear leader (aka inverted
asshole) should be killed of course, that is easy to understand
but why not burry his body somewhere in Tripoli and build a large
public toilet over it?
In that case you can take a pee or a shit for
decades to come on the right place.
It's not a bad idea, likely it's forbidden
under Islamic law, but as an idea it is very much ok.
Item 4) In Dutch: Een
tweeter die gevangenisstraf krijgt.
Er zijn van die dagen en dan zakt je
onderbroek haast spontaan af omder je van dat vreemde en gestoorde
nieuws te horen krijgt.
Nou ik wil het echt niet goedpraten, laast
was er een gevalletje van 'USA shootout" in een winkelcentrum
in Alphen aan de Rein. En dan heb je ook nog van die mafkeketels
die gaan dreigen dat ze het nog wel eens dunnetjes zullen overdoen.
Natuurlijk moeten dat soort gasten een leuke
schop onder de kont,
Bekijk eens de volgende video:
Twitterdreigers voor de rechter
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E82BGFBZ17s
Kommentaar: Tja wat moet ik hiermee?
Natuurlijk moet wat jeugd een schop onder de kont als ze verklaren
de boel nog eens dunnetjes over te zullen doen.
Maar als ikzelf als 40+ persoon aan het 'internationaal terrorisme'
adviseer om de getallen 5 en 7 te gebruiken is er alleen stilte.
En dan heb je bijv, tja ik noem maar een UK
zijstraat, van:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/7_July_2005_London_bombings
Kommentaar: Ok ik geef toe dat ik graag het
internationaal terrorisme wat meer controllable wilde maken... Nou
ja, dat lukte wel maar een beetje help?
Vergeet het maar...
Item 5) The empty
item.
Empty empty empty, sorry please use your own
brain to construct this fifth item...
Tot opdatums, till updates.
(21 June 2011) Only one item about boring
military developments on the techno gadget level:
Item 1) A pack of wolves versus the hive
mind.
Item 1) A pack of
wolves versus the hive mind.
No clue, no I have no clue whatsoever when a
few times I jokingly proposed that instead of using so called
'smart bombs' they should make bombs & rockets that work
together like a pack of wolves.
To my surprise a few years later Pentagons
darling DARPA floated the idea of making unmanned fighter jets
that work together...
I scratched my head and wondered if it would have been better if
years before I kept those jokes to myself. On the other hand I
still had fun because floating the idea or joking about it is very
easy, actually writing the software to make this work would be a
few years work.
Now in 2011 it looks like the USA folks have
made some progression, again I am scratching my old bold head but
what is life without a few jokes?
That's true, without fun life is miserable. A
2011 joke:
Shit man, if DARPA got enthusiastic from
some boring jokes they also understand the zero-one project! So
say an extra goodbye to all those extra filled coffins...
But lets not hang out the stand up comedian
and lets get back to the future of modern warfare. Here is a funny
quote:
The Hive Mind
Building the robot planes themselves was relatively easy. Much tougher was writing the software needed to fly the drones. “The operating system is the part that’s hardest to deal with,” Michael Francis, Leahy’s successor, said later. Ideally, killer drones would fly in a choreographed “swarm,” swooping down to overwhelm an enemy’s defenses. But swarm behavior required a fast-reacting blend of navigation, communication, targeting and formation-flying that had never been demonstrated before.
Comment: I don't have a clue how far this is
developed right now, it is very difficult to get a good
representation of 'swarm behavior' into the software that rules
the unmanned aircraft.
Source:
The Secret History of Boeing’s Killer Drone
http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/06/killer-drone-secret-history/all/1
__________
Ok lets end the day with a more simple joke
that most people can understand more easily:
Question: Have you heard about the Iraqi
oil pumped up for the USA?
Answer: There still isn't any!
May be it's time to hit the 'publish website'
button.
See ya around & till updates.
(09 June 2010) Oops, I didn't update for about
two weeks! I am sorry for the regular readers but I just didn't
feel like it because this old guy succeeded into getting a very
unpleasant pain in the lower parts of the human
backbone.
Therefore only a few boring links, as usual I
always do my utter best to make them as boring as possible.
Item 1) Boring links.
Item 1) Boring links.
A guy named Steve Keen has similar insights
as me on the sustainability of the USA to suck up more and more
debt. Steve has a good approach and is luckily much wider in his
reasoning compared to all those stock market analysts.
From Steve Keen's debt watch:
Prof Steve Keen YouTube Channel in business again
A few days back I stumbled upon a kind of 3
dimensional fractal that is very lovely, it is named the Mandelbox
although it has nothing to do with the original Mandelbrot fractal
in 2 dimensions.
And instantly it started itching in my head
the hard way: there are so many ways to bring the complex
multiplication into all other dimensions and infinite huge oceans
of beautiful fractals are only waiting to be found...
But I have to admit I never published that
math; it lies on the shelf for lets say 20 years but I still did
not write it down into some modern pfd file that you can read all
over the world... Sorry for being lazy.
Here is a youtubber on the Mandelbox:
Mandelbox variations
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bpA4yq-vCE
Also nice:
Mandelbox trip
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bO9ugnn8DbE
Of course all regular readers know the
original Mandelbrot fractal is based on iterations of the complex
parabola f(z) = z^2 + c.
So how is this done in 3D with the Mandelbox?
A very short answer describing what is happening when it comes to
iterations is the next link (remark the upper half of the
algorithm goes par coordinate so in 3D it works on the three (x,
y, z) coordinates separately).
From wikipedia: Mandelbox
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mandelbox
__________
At the end of this update a few words to the
NATO generals & the likes upon Libya:
I am very satisfied with the results until
now, the air power weapon has it's limitations and all in all this
is a small scale study of those limitations.
So my dear NATO generals, may be I will regret it in the future,
but for now you get my official compliments.
And why there are still supporters of the
lunatic named Gadhaffi is still not understood by me, ok Gadhaffi
might be smart in the science of survival but now I want him dead
too for a couple of months.
So lets wait and see how the Libyan equation
will pan out.
Till updates.
(27 May 2011) Two items:
Item 1) Paul Krugman watch: Paul hits again!
Item 2) In Dutch: Spionage in Zweden door USA ongedierte.
Item 1) Paul Krugman
watch: Paul hits again!
It still amazes me that so much Americans
keep on hanging out the debt hugger and apply all kind of weird
logic to ridicule the well needed austerity measures here in
Europe.
Why would some European nations need a severe
bout of austerity? Only that will help making the economy more
efficient, it is a very painful process but if you use debt for
consumption on all scales of the economy, at some point you simply
have to do the thingeling known as austerity.
It is rather painful, for example Greece
needs to cut about 3% a year (as compared to the entire economy)
for something like three years on a row. (Plus all those other
things that in the long run will make the Greeks more efficient
workers.)
Lets turn to that weirdo Paul Krugman, the
more years go by the more it beats me why this guy ever got a
Nobel prize in economics. From his latest ramblings we have
for example, quote:
In Europe, by contrast, the pain caucus has been in control for more than a year, insisting that sound money and balanced budgets are the answer to all problems. Underlying this insistence have been economic fantasies, in particular belief in the confidence fairy — that is, belief that slashing spending will actually create jobs, because fiscal austerity will improve private-sector confidence.
Unfortunately, the confidence fairy keeps refusing to make an appearance. And a dispute over how to handle inconvenient reality threatens to make Europe the flashpoint of a new financial crisis.
Comment: After my humble opinion the problems
in for example Greece have been building up for lets say a full
decade. So how can that be solved in lets say 10 months? No, on
the contrary, if for a full decade too much debt has been sucked
up, on average it might cost another decade to get rid of it.
Why those people like Paul Krugman/Joseph
Stiglitz want 'solutions' that keep the economy growing (growth in
the sense of GDP growth) is beyond all logic I can think of.
And why the hell did people like that get a
Nobel prize in the first place?
Item 2) In Dutch: Spionage
in Zweden door USA ongedierte.
Een maandje terug (23 april om precies te
zijn, zie beneden) vertelde ik jullie wat over auto's die mij
achtervolgd zouden hebben terwijl ik gewoon mijn eerzame werk voor
defensie deed in Deutschland.
En ik zie jullie al denken: allerlei
achtervolgingen door rare types met vreemd gedrag en ha ha ha dat
zouden we dan ook in Groningen gehad hebben? Ja ja, die Reinko kan
mij nog meer vertellen maar dat gaat er bij mij toch niet in.
Nou ja, iedereen heeft natuurlijk recht op de
vruchten van de eigen hersenen, maar dat soort van spion gedoe is
veel meer schering en inslag dan je als brave belastingbetaler zou
denken.
Dat is gewoon van alle tijden.
Maar het was toch wel leuk om al zo snel een
ander 'vreemd gevalletje' te vinden,
Deze is uit Zweden:
US ran 'secret terror hunt' in Sweden: report
http://www.thelocal.se/33920/20110523#
Nou ja, even terug naar de maanden okt/nov/dec
2001:
De Groninger politie hield mij in de gaten omdat zij van mening
waren dat ze Maaike's kut moesten beschermen, maar er waren ook
veel te veel van die andere types.
Ik heb geen enkel hard bewijs dat er
Amerikanen rondliepen in Groningen in die lang vervlogen maanden
maar ik heb nog wel steeds een naam op de plank liggen, het is
niet uit 2001 maar uit 2007:
Kevin Thomas McGann (dat is een chiropraker
gevestigd in Zaandam, misschien heeft hij de postcode 1506
DB).
Heel misschien en met de nodige slagen om de
arm kan het zijn dat K T McGann een zogenaamde 'person of
interest' is voor bijv organisaties als de AIVD...
Niet teveel aandacht aan besteden maar als
AIVD-ers eens 10 duizend € belastinggeld stukslaan op deze
McGann dan weet ik na 10 jaar weer waarom ik eigenlijk belasting
betaal.
Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(16 May 2011) One item on this day's financial
news:
Item 1) What is the most bizarre financial
news of the day? Choose from...
Item 1) What is the
most bizarre financial news of the day? Choose from...
Today I observed two equally bizarre news
items, the first is bizarre because of it's sexual content, the
second because of the weird languages used by Timothy Geithner
(the present USA Treasury Secretary).
What is the most bizarre? Choose from:
1)
IMF Chief Denied Bail in Sex Assault Case
2)
U.S. dipping into pensions as it hits debt limit
Dominique Strauss-Kahn was accused today of a
sodomy rape of a hotel room maid, by all standards this is one
100% bizarre news. We are all waiting on the juicy details of
course, but suppose it's true Dominique raped that maid, could it
be he had ordered for a whore but accidentally this maid enters
his room?
It's just sheer speculation on my behalf or course, but until now
the story is just so freaking bizarre that only stuff like
ordering for a whore makes sense of this.
But we better wait for the juicy details to come out, so much
could have happened...
__________
On the second link:
Today the USA Federal government hit her debt
ceiling of 14+ trillion, this debt ceiling consists of all public
traded Federal debt plus all the debt in the Federal Trust Funds.
(And may be a little bit more like 'emergency money'.)
Quote from the link above:
Geithner said he would suspend investments in two government retirement funds, which will give the U.S. Treasury $147 billion in additional borrowing capacity.
"I will be unable to invest fully" in the civil service retirement and disability fund and the government securities investment fund, he said in a letter to congressional leaders.
The Treasury has said the suspension of the investments and other measures it could take would give the government until about August 2 before it will start defaulting on obligations, such as paying bond investors.
Comment: Now you must not think that Tim
Geithner actually withholds $147 billion investments in these
funds, no on the contrary:
The $147 billion are already collected taxes from this fiscal year
(or these taxes will be collected this year). In those funds there
is only debt found...
No, all Tim does is not parking the debt in the Federal funds but
instead sells it on the Treasury market. That's an extra 147
billion on top of the 147 billion in disablement taxes and so.
More interesting reading on this lovely
financial detail can be found at:
§ 8348. Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/5/usc_sec_05_00008348----000-.html
The weird language from Tim Geithner is also
embedded in texts like the above, let me quote part c) for
you:
(c) The Secretary shall immediately invest in interest-bearing securities of the United States such currently available portions of the Fund as are not immediately required for payments from the Fund. The income derived from these investments constitutes a part of the Fund.
Comment: That is what you get if you run a
country like it was a tiny and small company that cannot set aside
enough reserves and only lives from one fiscal year to the next.
Luckily in my home nation only once in my lifetime I observed
someone in parliament suggesting similar weird stuff, that
proposal was shot very fast out of the sky... After all, at the
moment a government starts issuing debt to herself, the future
will be rather fuzzy!
That's it, till updates.
(13 May 2011) One item, you need to know a
little bit of math like the geometric
series to understand why this is very retarded stuff from USA
Nobel lauerates in the economical sciences.
Item 1) James K. Galbraith: It's the interest
rate you stupid!
Item 1) James K.
Galbraith: It's the interest rate you stupid!
What happens if a nation is debt saturated on
all levels of society and even the government uses a simple minded
model where never ever one cent of
money is reserved for future outlays?
In that case they are a bunch
of debt huggers and after they have a boatload of debt on
all levels of society they will start screaming: 'The ridiculous
high interest rates need to go down or otherwise we are not on a
sustainable path to prosperity and happiness.'
Sounds familiar?
Yes indeed I am talking about the USA and
James Galbraith is a USA citizen that for some strange reason
indeed succeeded into getting a real Nobel prize for economical
studies... Just like that other retard named Paul Krugman.
For years I have argued that total debt
levels in the USA always grow much faster compared to the
underlying growth in profits in the real economy, just a tiny
detail from this year 2011:
The Federal deficit is in the 10% range of the entire USA gross
domestic product while this GDP doesn't grow that fast, after all
the USA isn't a China kind of thing.
Retarded mathematics.
James uses some highly retarded mathematics
borrowed from Willem Buiter who now works for Citigroup. This kind
of mathematics is rather retarded, if you try to catch the Amazone
eco system in Brazil with a quadratic equation you end up with
similar stupid stuff.
The basis of stupidity is that the variables
involved are, for some strange reason, supposed to be stable over
the years while running a Federal deficit in the range of 10% of
GDP suggests otherwise.
Since it is so lovely retarded I decided to
make a screen shot of the math involved:
By now it is high time for you to look at the
writing of James G: please neglect the 'math' and look at all the
graphs he has put in to explain the difference between
'sustainable debt growth' versus the ones that are 'not
sustainable':
IS
THE FEDERAL DEBT
UNSUSTAINABLE?
http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/pn_11_02.pdf
So dumb, so retarded, why don't the USA folks
for only once in their lifetime try to bring down total debt
levels? Now you are only on a path of bringing down interest rates
and all international 'saving gluts' will think twice before
investing in your super safe debt harbors.
Lets leave it with that while I only remark I
expected better from my fellow country man named Willem Buiter.
(Ok it is logical retarded USA folks will run away with the things
Willem writes because on the mathematics level those USA folks are
über retards but Willem: take your responsibilities instead of
grabbing your big monthly salary!)
At the end of the article and after all those
years finally James sees the light, quoting:
Conclusion: It’s the
Interest Rate, Stupid
The significant conclusion
is that there is a devil in the interest
rate assumption. If the real
interest rate on the public debt is assumed
to be greater than the real growth rate, unstable debt dynamics
are likely.
Comment: For all international investors to
the USA, mark this conclusion from James Galbraith, take care of
your elderly and your youth and do not invest in inverted assholes
like the USA.
Till updates while in the meantime we must
never forget to attack the land stealers and land grabbers from
the divine nation of God: That would be Israel...
(11 May 2011) Two items, for my international
readers I am sorry but they are both in the Dutch language:
Item 1) Gepantserde politie auto's in
Groningen?
Item 2) Best een leuke column van Willem Middelkoop op rtlz.nl.
Item 1) Gepantserde
politie auto's in Groningen?
Vorige week op maandag was het vol in het
nieuws: Osama bin Laden was een beetje verrot geschoten en daarom
waren er plotseling allerlei extra beveiligings maatregelen.
Nou, op die maandag zag ik ze voor
het eerst op televisie; op RTLz om precies te zijn:
gepantserde politie auto's die extra veel rond reden bij de
Amerikaanse ambassade in Den Haag.
Hee zeg, die dingen kende ik al. Vorig jaar
maakte ik veel wandelingen en in de maand maart 2010 heb ik die
dingen een aantal keren in Groningen gezien.
Gepantserde politie auto's in Groningen? Hoeveel gekker moet het
worden???
Maar nee, ik heb ze zelf gezien en ik was in
hoge mate verbaasd wat die dingen in Groningen deden... Echt geen
idee.
Vorig jaar na die vreselijk koude winter was
ik eigenlijk van plan om te trainen voor een wandeltocht naar
Assen (en dan met de trein weer terug) en dus oefende ik braaf dag
in dag uit. Ik gebruikte meestal een vaste wandel route zodat
eventuele vijanden dag in dag uit op mijn simpele wandel route
konden anticiperen.
Maar ja, ik ben ook niet 100% achterlijk en
op zekere zondag wijzigde ik mijn route een piepklein beetje:
Normaal ging ik al lopende door het Noorder Plantsoen en als ik
bij de Plantsoenbrug aankwam dan sloeg ik rechtsaf om al lopende
het Reitdiep enzo te volgen.
Die zondag ging het plotseling een klein beetje anders: ik liep
door naar de Kraneweg en ging wandelend over de stoep langs de
Kraneweg.
Tot mijn verbazing kwam daar op deze frisse
zondagochtend in maart 2010 twee politie vehicels aan rijden: een
min of meer standaard politie bus met daarachter iets dat direct
in mijn brein geschreven stond: WAT IS DAT???
Met een totale verbazing stond ik ernaar te
kijken op deze verloren zondag ochtend: WAT IS DAT EN WAT DOET DAT
HIER???
Dat was toch een kleine tactische fout van de
lokale politie: als ik dat soort van spul zie rondrijden dan krijg
ik verbazingwekkend snel een woedend schuim rond mijn mond.
Waarom word ik daar zo kwaad over?
Nou ja dat is eenvoudig: I am the guy without
body guards.
Dat is een langjarig principe en als ik het fout doe dan krijg ik
een kogel door mijn kop.
Tot nu toe, ongeveer 10 jaar in deze 'War on
Terror' is het nooit echt gevaarlijk geweest. In tegendeel; de
zomer van 2001 was veel en veel gevaarlijker, maar het lukte de
Moslims toch niet om mij te doden. Maar ja het was evident super
gevaarlijk in die oude maanden uit 2001, dat 9/11 stuff gebeurde
en daarna was het ook wel gevaarlijk maar het ijzeren principe is
en blijft:
Ik ben gewoon zonder lijfwachten, ik ben niet
zoals mietjes als Geert Wilders en ik ben zeker niet zoals die
gast genaamd Theo van Gogh.
Om het eenvoudig te houden: Ik zou het in
hoge mate waarderen als de Groninger politie zowel op korte
termijn als lange termijn zou stoppen met al dat randdebiel gedoe.
Wat is dat nou voor onzin om op zondag ochtenden allerlei agenten
werk te verschaffen terwijl ikzelf 100% werkloos ben?
Item 2) Best een leuke
column van Willem Middelkoop op rtlz.nl.
Willem heeft een leuke column vandaag.
Willem is wat betreft financieële inzichten
ongeveer zo goed als ik; bijv toen ik dat maffe USA gedoe met
betrekking tot Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac bestudeerde in het
jaar 2004 bleek dat deze televisie beurs commentator dat ook deed.
Met soortgelijke conclusies als ik
had!
Nou ja, dit is echt een onderwerp dat zeer
interssant is omdat inderdaad op bepaalde moment al die
internationale poen markten inderdaad 100% rigged zijn. (Daarmee
bedoel ik dat vele miljarden gebruikt worden om de dollar sterk to
houden als dat nodig is, dat lijkt vreemd vooral als je bedenkt
waar de verliezen op deze transacties wel niet heen moeten gaan.)
Laat ik het hierbij houden, hier is de link
naar Willem zijn schrijfsels:
Column Willem
Middelkoop: "The War on Gold"
Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(10 May 2011) Two very boring items:
Item 1) Why do people react so weird on the gray
beard of Osama?
item 2) A few and hopefully very boring links.
Item 1) Why do people
react so weird on the gray beard of Osama?
In the first place I would like to compliment
the Pentagon folks (and their political leaders) for acting normal
and post a more or less funny video of Osama bin Laden watching
Osama bin Laden on the television.
After having said that I think it is rather
weird to observe all those media reports about a 'very frail man'
who dyes his beard before making a video appearance...
Any person with only one active brain cell
still alive knows that Osama dyed his beard for example in the
video with the title 'A message for the Americans'. Because in
that video he had a black beard while from much older stuff we
know he had some gray hairs in his beard.
In the next link you can find perfect
nonsense in so many ways, it is just like the local police talking
about me... May be you should read the stupid dailymail article
before proceeding:
Mastermind of terror... or a doddery old fool?
It is so perfectly stupid, I am obliged to
quote a little bit:
He is not watching a shopping channel on daytime TV, but old footage of his younger self – waving an AK-47 assault rifle in the Afghani hills, or acting with faux presidential grandeur in one of his jihadist broadcasts.
That the Pakistanis subsequently found ‘herbal Viagra’ in Bin Laden’s medicine cabinet sheds further light on the super terrorist’s vanity. The new footage reveals that before taping his broadcasts, he used dye on his beard and hair to achieve the impression of virility.
The unkempt figure hunched before the TV seems much older than his 54 years. Occasionally, he can be seen forgetting his lines in otherwise well-crafted propaganda broadcasts.
Comment: For myself speaking, I use blankets
too in wintertime. I have one blanket with an Avatar movie print
on it and a larger one that is plain blue. Beside this I do not
use a hat but a military shawl that says on it's label it is KL
1991. (My previous shawl was from the year 1986 but a few years
back I had to buy a new one that was made in the year 1991. Let me
spare you the NATO equipment number that is also printed on the
shawl label.)
Why is Osama having a gray beard so important
for all those zero brain folks?
I mean, look at Hillary Clinton; she is aging
very much but she never ever shows one gray hair in public. Is
Hillary Clinton (the present USA foreign department secretary) a
pure natural having perfect hair at her present age?
And what about Tony Blair? That macho man
uses facial creams all the time so he looks good before the
television camera's.
Remember Dubya just before he announced a
fresh war in Iraq? The BBC accidentally showed a camera feed back
in 2003 where the supreme commander in chief had his hair combed
so he looked perfect for the camera's and he could announce a
fresh war in Iraq...
So why the fuss on the gray hears from Osama
bin Laden?
Item 2) A few and hopefully
very boring links.
A few updates back I informed my dear reader
that it was highly unlikely that Osama bin Laden had a kidney
sickness. It's not really important because Osama is just only one
soldier and compared to the value of one soldier it is far more
important to get the right policies in place. But if the next link
has some truth, ha ha ha all that so called kidney sickness is
only a way the average USA brain works...
As you can see on inspection: not much of a kidney sickness
observed:
What was in medicine chests at bin Laden compound?
From another realm of this website: of course
I am observing how the Americans act and react on their funny
yearly Federal deficit of only 1600 billion US$ a year while
remarking the USA military budget is only 700 to 800 billion a
year.
It will take a few more years, but in the end
they will bow for me and miracle miracle they will slash much more
military spending. If not an amazing part of their elderly will
die just like if the USA was nothing but some fifth degree
developing nation...
This fact may not sit well: Americans are under-taxed
The next link is in the German language, but
it is the best link of this update. It is about so called
Totesmärsche (= death marching) and zum totes marschieren was one
of the tricks the Nazis used.
The good news is that the Israelis did those
kind of tricks too shortly after the international community
allowed them to have some kind of home country named Israel.
There is nothing new under the sun, humans
are humans and if there would be a nation on earth that should say
no to death marches it would be the Israelis.
But no, they did stuff like that
themselves...
So in the German language we have:
Todesmarsch
http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Todesmarsch
Zum aufspeichern.
Till updates.
(06 May 2011) Ok, may be not what you expected,
but we have a green tea update...
Item 1) All those USA obesity folks never
drink green tea, why is that?
Item 1) All those USA
obesity folks never drink green tea, why is that?
Ok drinking green tea every day is a subject
far away from all the emotion in this week now the honorable bin
Laden has been killed and I am still boiling with raw hatred
against the Israelis with their stupid talk about a 'setback' in
the peace process.
But for this update I simply set aside all my
hatred and we take a short look at the obesity epidemic in the
USA.
Everybody who has visited the USA knows there
are an amazing lot of very fat people over there, they are so fat
and so obese it makes you wonder why they walk. Wouldn't it be
much more easy to roll yourself instead trying to walk?
But no, if you have an obese body you are
very weak and if you roll around every small stone you roll over
will damage your skin and as such rolling around is not a good
alternative to walking/biking/hiking or whatever what.
Beside this rolling around only works when you are going
downhill...
There are many factors to getting obese, it
is not only your mindset but also the food and drinks you consume.
For myself speaking now I am aging I far better understand the
stuff involved: once you have gotten too heavy you are dead meat.
When you are young it is very easy to skip the extra kilo's, when
you get older it is much harder to loose weight. And if you live
inside a closed economy like the USA is, it is even much harder to
loose weight; that is really not a part of USA culture...
__________
So what about that green tea stuff, why is it
not a part of USA culture?
In the first place it costs only 20 cents a
day, just like the Israelis will never give up on their ever
growing settlements, for USA folks 20 cents a day is a repulsive
thing while diet Coca cola is a thing they can understand.
In the second place, most Americans are
retarded to the bone. When you can do something with a cost of
just 20 cents a day per capita citizen, they will reject that and
go for the 20000 thousand US$ hospital operation to get their stomachs
operated.
In the third place beside drinking green tea
you also have to get a little bit of body exercise, it is not
much, 60 minutes a day of light exercise is enough, but try to get
those obese USA wagons only walk for 30 minutes is a hell of a
task...
__________
Why does green tea work? Very simple: it has
a combination of substances that indeed makes your body fat go
away.
But it is 20 cents a day so the average USA
mindset can't accept that.
They prefer to pay a 1000+ US$ medical insurance a month so they
can get expensive treatments at their hospitals.
That's the way it works over there in the
USA, long live the world leader...
__________
Ok end of the green tea update, now Osama is
dead I would politely remind my dear reader of the importance of
bringing death to Israel and the USA.
Till updates.
(05 May 2011) Two items:
Item 1) Illegal ammo used by the Seal team in
the Osama killing?
Item 2) Why it is important to keep on killing Israelis.
Item 1) Illegal ammo
used by the Seal team in the Osama killing?
Flip flip flip I made a big mistake: I could
have save those Reuters pictures while they were still online but
I never thought they would be taken offline so fast...
Reuters has bought some pictures of killed
males at the bin Laden compound and they were highly interesting:
blood was streaming from the nose and the ears from the guys shot
by those heroic USA Navy seals...
I admit that I was stupid as not saving those
pictures instantly so I cannot show you the pictures right here
and now.
But by all standards this kind of damage can
only be done by ammo that is illegal under the standard Geneva
conventions that rule the use of handgun ammo in warfare.
One of the lessons of World War II is that
this kind of ammo is not allowed.
The USA does not give a shit about such
details, but for me this is no surprise.
After all, in Iraq so much illegal ammo has been applied by our
beloved freedom fighters and year in year out the entire world
wide journalists never even looked into that.
(Later I found the pics again in other media
files.)
Links:
Photos show three dead men at bin Laden raid house
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/04/us-binladen-pakistan-
photos-idUSTRE7437KK20110504
Very funny is that these pictures were
actually sold for money:
Photos show three dead men at bin Laden raid house
http://www.calgarysun.com/2011/05/04/photos-show-three-
dead-men-at-bin-laden-raid-house
(Look at picture number 3, that more or less
shows the use of illegal ammo. Legal ammo has both small entry and
out wounds from the bullet used).
This is how it looks; is this legal ammo or
is it a forbidden kind of ammo for hand held guns?
Item 2) Why it is important
to keep on killing Israelis.
In another development I observed the
Israelis simply going on with their slow decade in decade out
landgrab and land stealing.
Therefore it is advised to kill more Jews and
others in all nations supporting Israel.
What is the case?
I observed the Israeli pm Netanyahu being
against a unified Palestinian people, he literally asked the West
Bank folks not to unify with the Hamas.
On top the that the West Bankers were asked to choose between the
Hamas and Israel...
Netanyahu demanded the West Bankers to choose between peace with
Israel or peace with the Hamas.
Seldom my insights in the Israeli behavior is
more easily to understand. Over the last years I have written it
over and over again:
The Israelis do not
want peace, they only want to go on with more and more and more
and more settlements. The rest is only a circus and this
circus is only there to get more and more land.
Therefore my carefully advice is to kill
Israelis and supporters of Israelis wherever you can find them.
In my home nation where I live it would be
good to kill the CDA political leader named Maxime Verhagen. That
guy always supports Israel no matter what so why not activate his
burial costs?
Lets not do difficult on small meat like the
Maxime guy...
Till updates.
(04 May 2011) And again only one item:
Item 1) Links & small thoughts on the
Osama killing.
Item 1) Links &
small thoughts on the Osama killing.
I did not mention it in the previous update
because I ran out of time, but I want this USA Brennan guy killed.
With so much eager he told the world that Osama used females as a
human shield that it is utterly clear
he needs a bullet himself.
So disgusting, just so disgusting, the reason we need to kill
Americans decade in decade out is this kind of childish thinking
that Osama would use his own wife as a shield... The Americans
still don't understand why they deserved the 911 fun in so many
ways.
In the next link you can find a vid of this
disgusting guy named Brennan (by the way I never heard from him
before but now I have seen him I want
him dead):
White House changes Osama bin Laden account
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0511/54162.html
After having said the above there is also
funny news from the German media outlet named Der Spiegel; they
ponder the question if it was legal...
No, of course it is never ever legal under international law to
fly into another sovereign and kill a bit for home grown reasons.
I am not an expert in international law, but this was not legal.
Any fool can understand that.
Was Bin Laden's Killing Legal?
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,760358,00.html
It has been well documented on this website I
consider the Americans as being nothing but a bunch of retards
only interested in maintaining military power on the gadget level.
But now they have confiscated a lot of computer hard disks and
other materials from the Osama bin Laden compound that might prove
that indeed al Qaida in Iraq imitated my methods of getting more
US military coffins filled...
Now am I scared to the bone?
Of course not, by now I know how the weasels run...
US trawls
al-Qaida 'treasure trove' of seized hard drives
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/may/03/al-qaida-hard-drives
__________
All in all I am laughing; the local
authorities have behaved illegal for so many years against me, for
them it is very very hard to bring a solid judicial case against
my holy ass. Even if the Osama hard drives contain some serious
stuff, never ever I will have only the smallest kind of
problems...
Live isn't hard if you know how the weasels
run.
Lets leave it with that, till updates my
beloved reader!
(02 May 2011) Only one item:
Item 1) News of the day: The death of Osama
bin Laden.
Item 1) News of the
day: The death of Osama bin Laden.
Well well well, after almost 10 years the USA
has finally managed to kill bin Laden. That sure was some
surprising news.
As far as is known until now, no civilians
died (except on the compound itself of course). Fair is fair, it
is well known how I think about the Americans but they deserve a
compliment for the execution of this operation; nothing of that
weird bla bla bla of using overwhelming power and so. No massive
bombardments, just going in with four helicopters...
The seaman's grave for Osama does not win the
beauty contest, but ok ok it would be hard to find a suitable
place on land within 24 hours in order to get a more normal
burial. The argument the Americans wanted to prevent a land grave
becoming a shrine is rejected by me: if a true world military
power could not carry the risk of a land grave it is not a true
world military power. No, as far as I am looking at it this does
not win a beauty contest...
One thing is sure: all those cave dwellers
who year in year out thought Osama was hiding in caves have
luckily proved to be wrong. It was more or less like I expected it
all those years: in a more or less large city.
What we still miss: you also had those thousands of USA based
idiots believing Osama had a serious kidney sickness (because he
once imported two blood cleaning medical machines to Afghanistan).
Of course the US military medics must have checked on the kidney
detail: wanna bet it is a 100% fantasy? The kidney sickness story
is more a way the average American brain works and not a
representation of what could be true...
Pure evil.
It turns my stomach all day long when I hear
Americans talking about the 'man of pure evil'. And that only
because of the little number of 3000 Americans killed on 11 Sept
2001... That kind of stuff makes me sick: on average every day
inside the USA there are about 50 killings so it takes about two
months in the USA to arrive at 3000 killings.
In normal democracies like Germany or my home base country it
takes not 2 but on average 10 months to arrive at similar numbers
of killed people. And those retards talk about 'pure
evil'...
From the standpoint of
social sciences it has to be remarked that the USA is
highly selective in choosing her enemies; Osama bin Laden was by
all means their dreamt up enemy. Very good for their military
industry...
When I myself executed the so called zero-one project in Iraq in
the spring of 2007 it is estimated that easily 100+ US military
service folks died in so called 'excess death toll'.
To put it in perspective: That's easily 6 times a USS Cole event.
I never had any kind of complaints, how come that?
Now wow going after me does not bring any benefits to the US
military budget, an alternative explanation would be that the USA
military folks are far too retarded to understand the details of
the zero-one project.
__________
Ok, it is past midnight so officially it is
already 03 May of the present year while the date above says it is
02 May.
So I have to stop writing and hit the
'publish button'. Because already now the Americans would think I
am a 100% liar because I am a few minutes late...
Being retarded is an easy thing you know, see
ya around!
Till updates.
(30 April 2011) Two small items:
Item 1) I want Donald Trump as next USA prez!
Item 2) Those strange things known as Modern Money
Theories...
Item 1) I want Donald
Trump as next USA prez!
More and more USA business 'tycoon' Donald
Trump looks like the perfect candidate for the Republican
nomination for the next US presidential elections.
The Trump guy is sheer perfection for what I see is an ideal
candidate: You have the combined stupidity of Dubya, Rumsfled
& Cheney combined in one person...
So it's perfectly logical Trump is leading in
the polls as held under the retarded US population; only when you
are retarded enough you will view D. Trump as a good next prez for
your country.
The stuff this guy comes up with is
unbelievable, lets quote a few of Mr. Trump's remarks:
On the Iraqi oil:
The real estate mogul and television producer continued his battle cry of taking oil from countries after we have defeated them in battle.
"In the old days, when you won the war, it was yours," Trump said, earning applause from the crowd. "When we win a war … we leave with nothing."
And, for example, on South Korea:
"I'd say to South Korea, 'All those televisions you sell us, all the billions you make — we're going to protect you and make sure you're in good shape, but you're going to pay for it,'" he proclaimed. "You know something, they would do it in two minutes."
Say no to OPEC! This version of Donald Duck
will say no to OPEC if he were the next USA president:
Concerning oil prices, the New York businessman complained that there isn't anyone in power willing to say no to OPEC when they raise the price of gasoline. "We have nobody in Washington that sits back and said, you're not going to raise that ****ing price," Trump said.
Comment: This all is so weird and outlandish
it is very hard to make meaningful comments on it, I mean stuff
like invading other countries for stealing oil or literally asking
South Korea protection money points to serious mental issues
inside Mr Trump his head.
We have to take into account that Donald
Trump can win the Republican nomination, don't forget they coughed
up Dubya with their eyes open, we must never forget that my dear
reader:
They can also cough up somebody as dumb as
Dubya, we must never forget that.
__________
Ok it's no secret I want the USA kicked out
of NATO, that is one of my long term wishes. Lets talk real
politik: With Donald Trump as the commander in chief over the US
military & with some luck of course, I finally could axe the
NATO in half.
A bit more down to earth:
The combination Donald Trump / Charlie Sheen
would be true perfection, these guys show similar mental deficiencies
and will be a perfect tandem operating from the White
House...
Links:
Donald Trump in Vegas: 'Our leaders are stupid, they are stupid people'
Donald Trump still wants Iraq's oil, calls Fox analyst a 'sad fool' for disagreeing
(Both links are from the Los Angeles
Times.)
Item 2) Those strange
things known as Modern Money Theories...
It is hard to define what exactly Modern
Money Theories are so lets them simply view them as 'after the
crisis hit' kind of theories.
The most weird kind of those theories say it
is utter nonsense to tax the real economy since the government
already issues the local money. So a bit like the government
already issues the money, why tax people after that?
Of course already before the financial crisis
started it was easily foreseen all kind of weird lines of
reasoning would pop up, after all the psychological state as known
as 'being in denial' activates all parts of the human brain and
hence all 'logic' is just a derivate of emotion.
This week I came around another one of those
modern thingelings and even I was impressed by the next logic,
quote:
Occasionally I have written in an article that Government deficits equals private savings "to the penny". That comment generates some heated rebuttals from readers, but from my analysis of the National Accounts, as published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), I can confirm that the statement is one of fact.
Comment: Don't get fooled by stuff like this,
it is just the outcome of one of those dumb & simple
economical models.
Of course in all models of a closed economy, the debt issued by
the government is by definition bought by the 'private sector'.
And if you classify these private sector buys as 'savings' it
might fit to the penny. I will not deny that.
So if this were true, the USA is actually
'saving' this 1600 billion $ Federal yearly deficit and not
consuming it? And they only lean back a little bit waiting for the
time to activate those fantastic savings?
Source: Modern
Monetary Theory (MMT)
http://www.traderscircle.com.au/news-option-Trading.aspx?CID=17630
__________
Oh oh, modern money theories... Who needs
it?
Till updates.
(23 April 2011) One update, sorry it's in
Dutch...
Item 1) In Dutch: Lekker kletsen, lekker
schelden.
Item 1) In Dutch:
Lekker kletsen, lekker schelden.
Wat went dat toch snel: lui die je
achtervolgen...
In oktober van het jaar 2001 onzes Heren
werkte ik een poosje voor defensie in Duitsland (lokatie Seedorf,
die lokatie is nu opgeheven). Tot mijn verbazing werd ik al
rijdende in mijn automobiel meestal achtervolgd door rare types
die constant een telefoon tegen hun oor gedrukt hielden.
Ze spraken nouwelijks in die telefoon en hadden constant zo'n
agressieve trek om hun monden.
Het is vreemd maar dat soort van achtervolging went enorm snel, al
na twee of drie dagen als ik bij mijn hotel aankwam dan wist ik:
als ik nu mijn richting aanwijzer naar links doe dan gaat mijn
achtervolger binnen een seconde naar rechts daar dat kleine
straatje in. En zo gebeurde het...
Terug in Groningen: hoe filter je
achtervolgers uit het publiek terwijl je te voet bent?
Dat is lastig, met een auto kan je altijd
veel makkelijker snel of extra langzaam gaan rijden en gewoon eens
kijken welke auto's in de buurt blijven. Maar te voet wil ook best
wel, gebruik bijv eens de volgende methode als je die nodig hebt:
Ga wat heen en weer lopen in een niet al te
drukke winkelstraat, hier in Groningen kan dat bijv in de Nieuwe
Ebbingestraat. Banjer wat heen en weer en probeer alle relevante
gezichten/personen te onthouden.
Het is belangrijk dat het niet al te druk is, dan is het veel
makkelijker.
Dan sla je een rustig zijweggetje in, bijv die naar de Nieuwe Kerk.
Loop rustig het straatje in, na een meter of 100 steek je over en
keer je gewoon om.
Iedereen die je dan tegen komt en die je om de één of andere
reden eerder ook al vond opvallen is natuurlijk verdacht... (Niet
direct met je bijl gaan meppen trouwens, je kunt de rollen ook
omdraaien en proberen zelf eens een verdacht persoon te volgen en
kijken wat ie gaat doen.)
De Groninger politie deed ook mee; de helden
beschermden Maaike's kut.
Ja, kom je terug in Groningen in okt 2001 en
tot mijn verbazing gaat de Groninger politie mij ook in de gaten
houden. En ook min of meer opzichtig maar steeds met een kort
oogcontact, dus niet zoals die gasten in auto's in Duitsland die
alleen maar hardnekkig achter je aan rijden. (Nou ja, dat was in
okt 2001.)
Nou dat was een leuke combi: aan de ene kant van die buitenlanders
in burger en aan de andere kant de Groninger polite met hun maffe
zedenzaak.
Je kunt het niet geloven: zelfs de Chinezen???
Dit is niet van okt 2001, ik weet niet meer
precies wanneer het gebeurde maar het was ook ergens aan het begin
van de War on Terror.
Ik kwam al een jaar of drie bij een lokale afhaal Chinees en dat
waren meestal bijzonder plezierige economische transacties. En
vaak ook grappig (voor zover dat mogelijk is bij een Chinees).
Nou ja, stap ik op een goede dag weer eens binnen, ze herkennen
mij en ze trekken echt wit weg als ze mij herkennen. En niet
eentje maar het hele team hè.
Later op internet zoek ik maar eens op of ze eigenlijk wel Moslims
hebben in China; ja inderdaad. Best veel eigenlijk en ach die arme
lokale Chinees: moest ie spioneren voor het vaderland? Voor zover
als ik die mensen kende zullen ze dat niet leuk gevonden hebben...
Terug naar het heden: met korpseer begraven.
Lokaal is het welbekend alhier dat recent een
motor agent met korpseer is begraven. Ik kan er weinig medelijden
mee hebben, per slot van rekening zijn de motor muizen altijd erg
goed geweest in het in de gaten houden van onderhavig persoon.
Maar het is natuurlijk altijd mooi om zo'n doodskist door de
straten te zien gaan met al die saluerende agenten erlangs.
Nou eigenlijk moet ik enorm gaan schelden
maar ik hou mij nog even in & we kletsen nog wat door:
Is Reinko Venema ook niet met korpseer in
zijn graf geflikkerd in dec 1952?
Want mijn opa, waar ik naar vernoemd ben, stierf ook toen hij 48
jaar oud was...
__________
Maar ik heb toch zin in een klein beetje
schelden:
Herinneren jullie je die wandelende frikandel
met mayo Theo van Gogh nog?
Ja staat die wandelende frikandel nog op je
netvlies? Zijn filmpjes waren best wel leuk, maar ja wie kijkt er
tegenwoordig nog naar?
Behalve een wandelende frikandel was Theo ook een soort van
gestolde pan frituurvet, het was zeker verbazingwekkend dat hij
ook nog kon lopen...
Theo dacht dat hij wel kon doorgaan met zijn filmpjes gedoe en een
beetje agiteren tegen Moslims, je moest eens lezen wat onze lieve
frikandel wel niet geschreven heeft.
Maar als je het woord Moslim vervangt door
Jood is het veel beter leesbaar...
Om met een komische noot te eindigen: Je kunt
het woord Moslim in de geschriften van Theo van Gogh ook vervangen
door 'Groninger politie agent'... ;)
__________
Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(16 April 2011) I am dead tired from some little
physical exercise so lets try a small update:
Item 1) Small Libya update.
Item 2) In Dutch: Met de groeten uit Baflo.
Item 1) Small Libya
update.
Although most Libyans would not agree, the
NATO operations are going very well considering the boundary restrictions
an organization like NATO faces.
Most folks on the individual level would like
to see Gadhaffi gone, let it be no secret I am one of them. But
never ever an organization like the NATO could hug that as an
official goal. The NATO is simply created as a defense
organization in order to prevent a perfect World War number III
emerging from our soil.
As such it would be strange to observe NATO
soldier boots on the ground or weird stuff like 'arming the
rebels'. Somewhere in the back of my mind is the old and
longlasting Afghan equation, arming the rebels... Is it wise?
Lets just wait and see, for myself speaking I
try to understand why Gadhaffi still manages to trump up such a
fight; if I were a fighter in his army I would hesitate a little
bit: why bet on such a loser?
But may be there is more than meets the eye
in this Gadhaffi detail.
Item 2) in Dutch: Met de
groeten uit Baflo.
In Baflo werd drie dagen terug een politie
agent met zijn eigen wapen verrot geschoten, geruchten zeggen dat
hij wel drie kogels vlak voor zijn kanus had.
Volgens de lokale burgermeester is heel
Groningen in rouw...
Heel Groningen?
Nee, in Groningen woont ook iemand die
constant gestalk gezeur had van de Groninger politie. Bijv vanaf
okt 2001 tot en met maart 2010.
Zo is het bijv voorgekomen dat ik gewoon wat
groente wil gaan kopen op de Vismarkt, nou ja dat is toch heel
normaal?
Waarom zwermen er dan steeds vier politie auto's om mij heen?
En ach ooit had ik een eigen bedrijfje, het
was niet veel maar wel minstens de helft van mijn jaarinkomen.
Waar is dat toch gegaan? Gone with the wind of hebben bepaalde
gemeente politie klojo's de ventilatoren keihard aangezet?
Who knows, maar als het echt eigen
dienstwapen en drie kogeltjes close range is, dan ben ik niet in
rouw...
Waarom zou ik?
Nou nee, er is geen diep doorleefde behoefte
om in de rouw te schieten... Sorry.
Tot opdatums.
Till updates.
(05 April 2011) Two items:
Item 1) Killing the entire Kadhaffi family
zenga zenga style.
Item 2) Boring links.
Item 1) Killing the
entire Kadhaffi family zenga zenga style.
At the beginning of the uprising in Libya a
true miracle happened: for the very first time in the entire
history of mankind the Israelis made a positive contribution to
the lives of us ordinary people. It was the zenga zenga song
inspired by dj colonel Kadhaffi:
This is the version without the dancing
chick:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6GcUutnU2gk
and with the dancing chick:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MSbPS4hKkRM
A lot of people considered the original 'zenga
zenga' speech by that worthless colonel guy a little bit over the
top. So lets apply the zenga zenga logic to the entire Kadhaffi
family:
It is said the genius colonel has seven sons,
the number of daughters is unknown but all in all he must have a
lot of grandchildren. Lets throw all toddlers from a high building
in Tripoli, there is nothing immoral to that; it is elementary
zenga zenga logic.
Toddler toddler, zenga zenga!
After that all other kids from the Kadhaffi
family: Kids kids, zenga zenga!
Of course the rest of the entire family will
go like: Aunt aunt, zenga zenga!
Uncle uncle, zenga zenga!
Son son, zenga zenga!
Daughter daughter, zenga zenga!
And so on & so on...
Item 2) Boring links.
If a central bank uses a fundamentally flawed
statistic to base important decisions on, all you have to do is
wait for the disaster to happen.
It is well known that the 'rental equivalence' (for measuring
housing costs) as used by the FED to measure core CPI is a rather
dumb construction of CPI measurements.
At the business insider there is nice try to place a more
realistic version of what a CPI should be, it is about halfway the
article:
The Credit Bubble Must End In Severe Debt-Deflation
http://www.businessinsider.com/credit-bubbles-always-end-the-same-way-2011-4
The entire credit crisis is easy to
understand: If, for example, debt levels always grow at 8% a year
and the underlying economy only 3%, it is only waiting until you
hit a wall very hard. That's all there is to know.
So the USA based FED has rather expanded balances because they
were forced to take this 'totally unforeseen' garbage from the
commercial bank balances.
At the Daily Ticker they said the the FED balances are also
shrinking and I was flabbergasted: I thought like are the FED
folks applying the mark-to-market rule on their own balances???
That would be weird... ;)
(The video doesn't work by the way.)
QE2? More Like QE 1.5. The Fed’s Balance Shrinks Even As It Expands
Do you like the mahjong games? At a Dutch
website they also have 3 dimensional versions of it. They play
nice although sometimes the program code goes astray.
Here is an example:
Mahjong
dimensions
http://www.mahjongspelen.nl/mahjong.php?mahjong=Mahjong+Dimensions&game=61
Always had problems understanding Laurent
series while you think Taylor series are a piece of cake? The next
link contains a very simple way to create Laurent stuff from the
Taylor series. So easy, even the FED folks could do it! Zenga
zenga!
Laurent series
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurent_series
A lot of USA and UK based folks were
screaming wolf and predicted an explosive end to the Euro because
in Europe there is not a uniform tax code. Those retards simply
don't know what they are talking about, as if the USA tax code is
a recipe for happiness:
United States Federal Tax Dollars
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/04/united-states-federal-tax-dollars/
Also funny:
March Madness: U.S. Gov't Spent More Than Eight Times Its Monthly Revenue
http://cnsnews.com/news/article/march-madness-feds-spent-more-eight-time
The first signs of a fresh new Egypt
democracy are observed:
ElBaradei: We'll fight back if Israel attacks Gaza
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4051939,00.html
Till updates.
(24 March 2011) A short one:
Item 1) On Libya: Resolution 1973 & the
diplomatic henhouse.
Item 1) On Libya:
Resolution 1973 & the diplomatic henhouse.
Oh oh, what is happening here?
Exactly one week ago the UN 1973 resolution was passed, two days
later while the European diplomatic henhouse came together in
France two French fighter jets were inside Libyan airspace &
the rest is history.
Most diplomats and political leaders were
doing other stuff at the time: they were all caught by surprise.
For example the US prez Obama was in Brazil studying the samba
dance and he must have been surprised by the original 110
Tomahawks fired on his behalf...
The Europeans are also doing difficult, they
think that before there is military power applied, there is
consultation and stuff like that. Dream on my dear European
diplomatic corpse: that only goes when it's related to NATO.
For myself speaking, I am laughing because
completely outside diplomatic channels suddenly a lot of air power
is applied in order to prevent civilian death...
So for the time being, one week long down
this road, I wish the air lords luck...
__________
Lets leave it with that. Till
updates.
(19 March 2011) A very short update:
Item 1) On Libya: how much air power is
enough?
Item 2) On Japan: is the nuclear plant leaking water all the
time?
Item 1) On Libya: how
much air power is enough?
Yes my dear NATO generals, how much air power
is enough?
We'll see in practice if once more you succeed in rallying the
local population behind their leadership...
Too much doesn't work, right now the first
photo's of the first 110 Tomahawks are in, for the time being I
have no comment.
So my dear NATO generals, for the time being I wish you
luck.
__________
Side remark: In the house of Gadaffi they
don't understand how much the person of Mr. Gadaffi has become the
problem. Everybody just want to get rid of that guy.
Lets leave it with that.
Item 2) On Japan: is the
nuclear plant leaking water all the time?
For days the Japanese throw in a lot of water
over all that exploded stuff; almost no steam comes out any longer
from the reactors.
But the longer this water throwing continues,
the more urgent the question of leakage of water becomes.
My dear Japanese I would never pray for you
because of the earth quake, neither for the tsunami. With your
little nuclear problem I hold my heart & I might consider a
little prayer.
Oh oh, beside the global financial crisis
this equals the importance of reasonable risk management. In the
end all tail risks suddenly combine and leave you standing alone
in a landscape of chaos.
Yet I wish the Japs a lot of luck!
Till updates.
(18 March 2011) Ok I am not against it (although
it is a bit weird after Iraq to observe logic like 'we need to
rescue the civilians' from the USA) but we seems to have a no fly
zone over Libya:
U.N. approves no-fly zone over Libya; raids may begin Friday
Lets wait and see, for the time being I have
no comments.
Till updates.
(14 March 2011) Temporary
update:
Item 1) Why do those Japanese nuclear
reactors explode?
Item 1) Why do those
Japanese nuclear reactors explode?
Shit shit shit, the last time I made
calculations around nuclear reactions and the forming of isotopes
is 30 years ago. That is very shit because I do not understand why
so much hydrogen is created; what particular nuclear reaction
gives so much hydrogen that makes the outer layers explode?
And than there is that nonsense about using
seawater to 'cool' the nuclear rods?
What nonsense is that?
It is really not that from above you can put a few buckets of
seawater on it like it was some wood on fire.
The nuclear core is in a high pressure environment, you cannot
pump water into it...
Or may be you can, may be enough water can be
pumped in... Lets pray for that.
__________
And what about the design of the nuclear
rods?
After all the trick of running a nuclear plant is to get enough
radio active matter together to form a 'nice burn'. But if such a
rod is not cooled, it should not burn down by itself.
All in all it looks like a few very serious
design flaws.
Lets leave it with that, till updates.
[ Update from 15 March:
Without posting links, the hydrogen comes
from a chemical reaction, not a nuclear reaction. It is a kind of
high temperature rusting of some of the metals used: the
metal 'steals' the oxygen from water leaving the hydrogen as a
gas.
It is not that important but yesterday at
first I thought the hydrogen came from nuclear reactions so I had
a hefty 'Holy Cow' erlebnis.
Luckily it is a chemical reaction, although this kind of chemical
reaction never ever is supposed to be happening.
End of the 15 March update.]
(09 March 2011) Sorry only one item, lets
go:
Item 1) The two year anniversary of the
market bottom of 2009.
Item 1) The two year anniversary
of the market bottom of 2009.
Two years already? How time flies when you
are collecting debt...
But serious: On 12 Nov 2007 just a few weeks
after the DOW Jones top of 14+ thousand I activated the so called
NightmareOnWallStreet again.
Goal was to guide the DOW down to say 7000.
In case you have never read it, here is the
link again:
Second
activation of the NightmareOnWallStreet
With that activation I took a tremendous
risk: If I failed to make it to the 7000 level my reputation would
be wasted more or less for ever.
And if my reputation was wasted, all likelihood of the authorities
finally investigating if the 9/11/2001 attacks were done slightly
different than officially though would also be wasted.
Back in 2007 I still thought it would be
possible but later I realized the authorities will never give up
with their good versus evil version of it. So be it...
__________
So two years back was the first market bottom
of the credit crisis, how are we standing today?
--1-- A lot of stock markets are up 70 or 80%
from two years back. That is a lot, especially when you take into
account that debt levels are rising at a higher rate compared to
the underlying profit growth.
This suggests a lot of debt is still used in a 'consumable way'
(not contributing to growth only uphelding GDP).
--2-- Luckily in Europe the problem of lazy
and debt ridden economies is a point of attention. In the USA we
have the usual circus from those debt hugger clowns.
All in all the € is working very good: The monetary union sets
rates via the ECB while the tax thingelings can be done locally on
the country level.
--2a-- I hope that for a long long time to
come, country parliaments run the local tax regime. Please don't
make puppets from the local parliaments by imposing a fiscal union
instead of a monetary union: It will fail.
You simply can't manage so much diversity with one tax
code...
--3-- If on 12 Nov 2007 you would have told
me:
One day there will be a country that from one day to the next will
report a (yearly) deficit of about 30% of local GDP.
I would have told you: No fucking way I can believe that.
Ok, it is past midnight so it's time to hit
the publish button, see ya around.
Till updates.
(20 Feb 2011) Two items:
Item 1) The Arab nations want to get rid of
shitty leaders; success!!!
Item 2) Donald Trump thinks the USA has become a laughing stock, I
agree...
Item 1) The Arab
nations want to get rid of shitty leaders; success!!!
The last weeks the middle east has seen some
sweeping changes that in potential could lead towards a very
different political constellation. I think that the armies from Tunisia
and Egypt deserve a compliment for making the right choice &
avoiding all that nasty stuff known as civil war.
Lets hope the Egyptians won't forget who
supported Mubarak for all those years; that was our beloved
democracy bringing USA...
And the poor Americans; officially they
support a sweep towards more democracy but with a bit of luck they
now have far less possibilities for the outsourcing of
torture.
For myself speaking I hope that the Gaddafi
figure will be hanged in a public space, rather likely it won't
happen but it would not be a bad thing if that fake Muslim will
meet his maker...
But lets leave it with that because the
peoples of most countries made clear they don't like foreign
comment and/or interference. Of course I respect that because
after all that is the way it is supposed to be.
Good luck my dear Arabs!
Item 2) Donald Trump thinks
the USA has become a laughing stock, I agree...
Seldom you see television as funny as this:
Donald Trump explaining that the USA has become a laughing stock.
Yes yes, it was on CNN and it was lovely to see.
Poor poor Donald, he seems to think the
'laughing stock' is caused by a lack of testosterone... No no
Donald, too low hormone levels are never a problem in the USA, the
problem is basically a lack of brains.
But my dear Donald, you and I agree on one
thing: The USA is indeed a laughing stock.
From tap water infrastructure via the high speed railroads and the
high speed internet, the USA is a laughing stock in many ways.
The Americans think that if they launch an
IPad/Pod/Phone, they are a high tech nation. They have indeed
become a laughing stock my dear Donald, they have.
Ok Donald Trump, just between you and me:
Might it be the US military is also a laughing stock, because,
just for example, the zero-one project took place four years ago?
I never had one complaint!
Wow man, I could keep on talking but I won't
do that.
Instead I will link to one of those funny 'laughing stock' things
from Donald Trump:
Trump says United States is disrespected
The link is from UPI by the way, lets leave
it with that.
Till updates.
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